Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 14/11, 06:05

Prediction: Altiri Chiba vs San En Neo Phoenix

Team pages: Altiri Chiba · San En Neo Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.8Total

Altiri Chiba79

San En Neo Phoenix86.8

1X2

29% 71%

Altiri Chiba San En Neo Phoenix

Recent form · 10 last

Altiri Chiba 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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San En Neo Phoenix 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Altiri Chiba 0–3 San En Neo Phoenix (3 last)

Altiri Chiba68-77San En Neo Phoenix
San En Neo Phoenix87-79Altiri Chiba
San En Neo Phoenix98-79Altiri Chiba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Altiri Chiba 1484 · San En Neo Phoenix 1587

	Altiri Chiba	San En Neo Phoenix
Our model	48%	52%
Market	25%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 165.8 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.8Altiri Chiba 79 · San En Neo Phoenix 86.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San En Neo Phoenix (rating 1484 vs 1587).
San En Neo Phoenix is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours San En Neo Phoenix: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Altiri Chiba	San En Neo Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.7 / 83.4	87.3 / 82.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.6 / 79.8	88.8 / 89
Est. result	79	87

Est. total165.8

Line O/U168.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.75

21.24

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 167.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.24 → 1.24	Pinn 1.28 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
12:41 +6’	3.75	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:34 +14’	3.46	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Altiri Chiba 0–0–3 San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Altiri Chiba	68-77	San En Neo Phoenix
08/01/26 Japan Emperor Cup	San En Neo Phoenix	87-79	Altiri Chiba
15/10/25 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	98-79	Altiri Chiba

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	12	11	1	1094	903
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	15	13	2	1356	1214
3	Mikawa Seahorses	13	10	3	1175	1049
4	San En Neo Phoenix	11	8	3	963	910
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	15	8	7	1251	1193
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	16	8	8	1335	1306
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	14	6	8	1177	1142
8	Shiga Lakes	15	6	9	1285	1333
9	Nagasaki Velca	17	6	11	1311	1393
10	Shinshu Brave Warriors	17	6	11	1426	1475
11	Kobe Storks	15	4	11	1200	1297
12	Saga Ballooners	14	1	13	1095	1333
13	Osaka Evessa	16	1	15	1121	1455

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Altiri Chiba	San En Neo Phoenix
Ibaraki Robots	87-102 L	81-75 W
Ryukyu Golden Kings	65-94 L	96-86 W
Hiroshima Dragonflies	71-89 L	75-77 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San En Neo Phoenix (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Altiri Chiba

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/11	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	75-66	W
09/11	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	85-76	W
06/11	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	87-89	L
01/11	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	102-83	W
30/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	89-85	W
26/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	74-85	L
24/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	87-102	L
21/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-94	L
19/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	82-65	W
17/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	71-89	L

San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	110-96	W
08/11	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	67-88	L
01/11	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	96-86	W
31/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	80-86	L
24/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	91-89	W
19/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	75-77	L
10/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	83-81	W
04/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	93-89	W
03/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	97-61	W
27/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altiri Chiba vs San En Neo Phoenix?

Our model gives 71% to San En Neo Phoenix.

How many points are expected in Altiri Chiba vs San En Neo Phoenix?

The model estimates 165.8 total points (Altiri Chiba 79 · San En Neo Phoenix 86.8).