Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 14/11, 07:05
Prediction: Mikawa Seahorses vs Toyama Grouses
Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses · Toyama Grouses
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.9Total
Mikawa Seahorses90.6
Toyama Grouses79.3
1X2
Mikawa Seahorses
Toyama Grouses
Recent form · 10 last
Mikawa Seahorses
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Toyama Grouses
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mikawa Seahorses
6–0
Toyama Grouses
(6 last)
- Toyama Grouses56-99Mikawa Seahorses
- Mikawa Seahorses103-69Toyama Grouses
- Mikawa Seahorses83-70Toyama Grouses
- Toyama Grouses85-90Mikawa Seahorses
- Mikawa Seahorses74-65Toyama Grouses
- Mikawa Seahorses72-53Toyama Grouses
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikawa Seahorses 1585 · Toyama Grouses 1492
| Mikawa Seahorses | Toyama Grouses | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 80% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.9 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169.9Mikawa Seahorses 90.6 · Toyama Grouses 79.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikawa Seahorses (rating 1585 vs 1492).
- Mikawa Seahorses is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mikawa Seahorses | Toyama Grouses | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.4 / 80.9 | 82.7 / 87.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.8 / 85.6 | 85.8 / 89.8 |
| Est. result | 91 | 79 |
Est. total169.9
Line O/U170.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mikawa Seahorses 6–0–0 Toyama Grouses
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/26 Japan B League Premier | Toyama Grouses | 56-99 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 08/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 103-69 | Toyama Grouses |
| 07/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 83-70 | Toyama Grouses |
| 22/09/24 Japan Emperor Cup | Toyama Grouses | 85-90 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 07/02/24 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 74-65 | Toyama Grouses |
| 17/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 72-53 | Toyama Grouses |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 963 | 910 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1251 | 1193 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1335 | 1306 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1177 | 1142 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1285 | 1333 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1311 | 1393 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1426 | 1475 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1121 | 1455 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikawa Seahorses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
91-86 | W |
| 08/11 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
96-91 | W |
| 06/11 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
83-90 | L |
| 01/11 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
84-78 | W |
| 31/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
100-83 | W |
| 24/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
91-82 | W |
| 18/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-56 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
89-81 | W |
| 09/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
90-105 | L |
| 04/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-57 | W |
Toyama Grouses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
91-77 | W |
| 09/11 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
75-108 | L |
| 07/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
80-93 | L |
| 01/11 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
83-78 | W |
| 31/10 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
100-93 | W |
| 26/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
61-83 | L |
| 24/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
82-79 | W |
| 21/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
105-87 | W |
| 18/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
56-99 | L |
| 11/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
94-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikawa Seahorses vs Toyama Grouses?
Our model gives 79% to Mikawa Seahorses.
How many points are expected in Mikawa Seahorses vs Toyama Grouses?
The model estimates 169.9 total points (Mikawa Seahorses 90.6 · Toyama Grouses 79.3).