Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 12/11, 11:05
Prediction: Shiga Lakes vs Chiba Jets
Team pages: Shiga Lakes · Chiba Jets
Prediction summary
Estimated points
177.4Total
Shiga Lakes89.6
Chiba Jets87.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Shiga Lakes
Chiba Jets
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Shiga Lakes
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Chiba Jets
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shiga Lakes
2–4
Chiba Jets
(6 last)
- Chiba Jets104-76Shiga Lakes
- Chiba Jets67-72Shiga Lakes
- Shiga Lakes80-95Chiba Jets
- Shiga Lakes93-89Chiba Jets
- Chiba Jets90-58Shiga Lakes
- Chiba Jets103-59Shiga Lakes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiga Lakes 1477 · Chiba Jets 1482
| Shiga Lakes | Chiba Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
177.4 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points177.4Shiga Lakes 89.6 · Chiba Jets 87.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Chiba Jets: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Shiga Lakes | Chiba Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.8 / 90.5 | 91 / 92.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 89.4 | 95.4 / 93.4 |
| Est. result | 90 | 88 |
Est. total177.4
Line O/U178.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiga Lakes 2–0–4 Chiba Jets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 104-76 | Shiga Lakes |
| 11/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 67-72 | Shiga Lakes |
| 23/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 80-95 | Chiba Jets |
| 22/03/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 93-89 | Chiba Jets |
| 23/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 90-58 | Shiga Lakes |
| 22/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Chiba Jets | 103-59 | Shiga Lakes |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1265 | 1108 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 10 | 7 | 3 | 853 | 814 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1181 | 1099 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1254 | 1228 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1198 | 1243 | 0 |
| 8 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1082 | 1068 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1238 | 1311 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1352 | 1390 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1044 | 1364 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
91-96 | L |
| 06/11 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
81-75 | W |
| 01/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
64-87 | L |
| 30/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
69-104 | L |
| 23/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
89-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
92-80 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
67-99 | L |
| 12/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
95-76 | W |
| 10/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
105-111 | L |
| 07/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
85-92 | L |
Chiba Jets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
106-94 | W |
| 08/11 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
111-103 | W |
| 06/11 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
89-87 | W |
| 01/11 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
78-83 | L |
| 31/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
93-100 | L |
| 25/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
87-65 | W |
| 21/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
79-102 | L |
| 19/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
64-107 | L |
| 17/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
97-78 | W |
| 12/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
106-108 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiga Lakes vs Chiba Jets?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Shiga Lakes 55% · Chiba Jets 45%).
How many points are expected in Shiga Lakes vs Chiba Jets?
The model estimates 177.4 total points (Shiga Lakes 89.6 · Chiba Jets 87.8).