Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 13/11, 11:05
Prediction: Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Saga Ballooners
Team pages: Kanagawa Brave Thunders · Saga Ballooners
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.2Total
Kanagawa Brave Thunders84.9
Saga Ballooners82.4
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Saga Ballooners
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Kanagawa Brave Thunders
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Saga Ballooners
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kanagawa Brave Thunders
2–4
Saga Ballooners
(6 last)
- Kanagawa Brave Thunders84-91Saga Ballooners
- Kanagawa Brave Thunders73-82Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners76-89Kanagawa Brave Thunders
- Saga Ballooners89-67Kanagawa Brave Thunders
- Kanagawa Brave Thunders78-87Saga Ballooners
- Kanagawa Brave Thunders74-65Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 1386 · Saga Ballooners 1417
| Kanagawa Brave Thunders | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.2 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.2Kanagawa Brave Thunders 84.9 · Saga Ballooners 82.4
Match keys
- H2H favours Saga Ballooners: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kanagawa Brave Thunders | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.4 / 82.4 | 79.7 / 95.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.2 / 82.6 | 83.6 / 98.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 82 |
Est. total167.2
Line O/U168.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 2–0–4 Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 84-91 | Saga Ballooners |
| 26/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 73-82 | Saga Ballooners |
| 04/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 76-89 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders |
| 03/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 89-67 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders |
| 24/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 78-87 | Saga Ballooners |
| 23/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Kanagawa Brave Thunders | 74-65 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 963 | 910 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1251 | 1193 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1254 | 1228 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1177 | 1142 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1198 | 1243 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1352 | 1390 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1311 | 1393 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1044 | 1364 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kanagawa Brave Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
74-95 | L |
| 09/11 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
76-85 | L |
| 06/11 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
75-81 | L |
| 01/11 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
66-77 | L |
| 31/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
65-75 | L |
| 26/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
92-89 | W |
| 24/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
82-93 | L |
| 21/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-67 | W |
| 19/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
69-80 | L |
| 16/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
74-82 | L |
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
103-111 | L |
| 01/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
78-84 | L |
| 31/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
83-100 | L |
| 26/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
88-112 | L |
| 21/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
66-84 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
70-115 | L |
| 16/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
90-109 | L |
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Saga Ballooners?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Kanagawa Brave Thunders 57% · Saga Ballooners 43%).
How many points are expected in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Saga Ballooners?
The model estimates 167.2 total points (Kanagawa Brave Thunders 84.9 · Saga Ballooners 82.4).