Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 13/11, 11:30
Prediction: Akita Northern Happinets vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Team pages: Akita Northern Happinets · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Prediction summary
Estimated points
174.8Total
Akita Northern Happinets80.4
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins94.4
1X2
Akita Northern Happinets
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Recent form · 10 last
Akita Northern Happinets
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Akita Northern Happinets
1–5
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
(6 last)
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins74-66Akita Northern Happinets
- Akita Northern Happinets58-88Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
- Akita Northern Happinets80-86Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
- Akita Northern Happinets84-78Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins90-74Akita Northern Happinets
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins72-63Akita Northern Happinets
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akita Northern Happinets 1415 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1619
| Akita Northern Happinets | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
174.8 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +4.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points174.8Akita Northern Happinets 80.4 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 94.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1415 vs 1619).
- Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Akita Northern Happinets | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.1 / 95.8 | 91.1 / 76.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93 / 102 | 91.2 / 77 |
| Est. result | 80 | 94 |
Est. total174.8
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Akita Northern Happinets 1–0–5 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 74-66 | Akita Northern Happinets |
| 05/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Akita Northern Happinets | 58-88 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
| 09/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Akita Northern Happinets | 80-86 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
| 08/02/25 Japan B League Premier | Akita Northern Happinets | 84-78 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
| 03/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 90-74 | Akita Northern Happinets |
| 02/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 72-63 | Akita Northern Happinets |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 963 | 910 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1251 | 1193 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1254 | 1228 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1177 | 1142 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1198 | 1243 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1352 | 1390 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1311 | 1393 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1044 | 1364 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Akita Northern Happinets | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Ibaraki Robots | 83-95 L | 90-78 W |
| Shinshu Brave Warriors | 96-101 L | 92-77 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akita Northern Happinets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
83-95 | L |
| 08/11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
96-101 | L |
| 06/11 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
118-123 | L |
| 01/11 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
83-102 | L |
| 30/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-89 | L |
| 26/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
71-79 | L |
| 24/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
95-86 | W |
| 21/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
84-98 | L |
| 19/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
| 17/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
102-95 | W |
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
76-87 | L |
| 07/11 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
93-80 | W |
| 01/11 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
87-64 | W |
| 30/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
104-69 | W |
| 25/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
96-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
98-69 | W |
| 19/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
92-77 | W |
| 11/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
90-78 | W |
| 04/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
90-80 | W |
| 03/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
85-73 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akita Northern Happinets vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?
Our model gives 84% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.
How many points are expected in Akita Northern Happinets vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?
The model estimates 174.8 total points (Akita Northern Happinets 80.4 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 94.4).