Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 14/11, 09:05
Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Hiroshima Dragonflies
Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Hiroshima Dragonflies
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.4Total
Tokyo Alvark87
Hiroshima Dragonflies83.4
1X2
Tokyo Alvark
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Alvark
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hiroshima Dragonflies
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Alvark
4–2
Hiroshima Dragonflies
(6 last)
- Tokyo Alvark95-72Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Tokyo Alvark79-87Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Tokyo Alvark95-79Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Tokyo Alvark71-56Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Tokyo Alvark98-50Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Tokyo Alvark61-76Hiroshima Dragonflies
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1535 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1560
| Tokyo Alvark | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.4Tokyo Alvark 87 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 83.4
Match keys
- H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tokyo Alvark | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.5 / 80.5 | 89.8 / 83.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 79.4 | 86 / 80.8 |
| Est. result | 87 | 83 |
Est. total170.4
Line O/U171.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 4–0–2 Hiroshima Dragonflies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 95-72 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 03/01/26 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 79-87 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 10/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 95-79 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 09/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 71-56 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 07/09/24 Club Friendlies | Tokyo Alvark | 98-50 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 03/12/23 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Alvark | 61-76 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 963 | 910 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1251 | 1193 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1335 | 1306 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1177 | 1142 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1285 | 1333 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1311 | 1393 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1426 | 1475 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1121 | 1455 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokyo Alvark | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
|---|---|---|
| Nagasaki Velca | 82-73 W | 80-73 W |
| San En Neo Phoenix | 88-67 W | 77-75 W |
| Sendai 89ers | 69-96 L | 91-106 L |
| Akita Northern Happinets | 90-74 W | 98-84 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Alvark
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
82-73 | W |
| 08/11 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
88-67 | W |
| 06/11 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
69-96 | L |
| 01/11 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
106-71 | W |
| 31/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
100-90 | W |
| 26/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
112-88 | W |
| 24/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
82-91 | L |
| 22/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
66-69 | L |
| 19/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
90-74 | W |
| 17/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
100-86 | W |
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
91-106 | L |
| 06/11 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
80-73 | W |
| 01/11 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
74-73 | W |
| 31/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
95-88 | W |
| 26/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
90-64 | W |
| 24/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
93-96 | L |
| 21/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
98-84 | W |
| 19/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
77-75 | W |
| 17/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
89-71 | W |
| 10/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
111-105 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
Our model gives 60% to Tokyo Alvark.
How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
The model estimates 170.4 total points (Tokyo Alvark 87 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 83.4).