Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 15/11, 05:35

Prediction: Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Utsunomiya Brex

Team pages: Shimane Susanoo Magic · Utsunomiya Brex

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.3Total

Shimane Susanoo Magic83.8

Utsunomiya Brex83.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Shimane Susanoo Magic Utsunomiya Brex

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Shimane Susanoo Magic 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Utsunomiya Brex 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Shimane Susanoo Magic 1–5 Utsunomiya Brex (6 last)

Utsunomiya Brex93-76Shimane Susanoo Magic
Utsunomiya Brex101-81Shimane Susanoo Magic
Utsunomiya Brex83-78Shimane Susanoo Magic
Utsunomiya Brex72-58Shimane Susanoo Magic
Utsunomiya Brex80-72Shimane Susanoo Magic
Utsunomiya Brex60-76Shimane Susanoo Magic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shimane Susanoo Magic 1454 · Utsunomiya Brex 1469

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Utsunomiya Brex
Our model	61%	39%
Market	49%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 167.3 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.3Shimane Susanoo Magic 83.8 · Utsunomiya Brex 83.5

Match keys

H2H favours Utsunomiya Brex: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Utsunomiya Brex
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.1 / 82.9	81.4 / 86.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88 / 81	84.6 / 88.8
Est. result	84	84

Est. total167.3

Line O/U164.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.87

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 167.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
10:38 +15’	1.87	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shimane Susanoo Magic 1–0–5 Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	93-76	Shimane Susanoo Magic
11/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	101-81	Shimane Susanoo Magic
03/11/24 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	83-78	Shimane Susanoo Magic
02/11/24 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	72-58	Shimane Susanoo Magic
23/09/24 Japan Emperor Cup	Utsunomiya Brex	80-72	Shimane Susanoo Magic
24/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	60-76	Shimane Susanoo Magic

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	13	12	1	1204	997
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	15	13	2	1356	1214
3	Mikawa Seahorses	14	11	3	1286	1119
4	San En Neo Phoenix	12	9	3	1049	979
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	16	9	7	1349	1268
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	16	8	8	1335	1306
7	Shiga Lakes	16	7	9	1383	1421
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	15	6	9	1253	1229
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	17	6	11	1426	1475
10	Nagasaki Velca	18	6	12	1391	1479
11	Kobe Storks	16	4	12	1279	1397
12	Saga Ballooners	15	1	14	1167	1423
13	Osaka Evessa	16	1	15	1121	1455

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shimane Susanoo Magic	Utsunomiya Brex
Sendai 89ers	76-87 L	81-85 L
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	95-74 W	89-92 L
Ryukyu Golden Kings	69-90 L	79-76 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Utsunomiya Brex (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shimane Susanoo Magic

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/11	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	76-87	L
11/11	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	95-74	W
09/11	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	108-75	W
01/11	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	73-74	L
31/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	88-95	L
26/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	85-86	L
24/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
19/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	80-69	W
17/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	78-97	L
10/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	69-90	L

Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	94-70	W
07/11	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	79-76	W
01/11	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	71-106	L
31/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	90-100	L
26/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	89-92	L
24/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	87-80	W
21/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	69-98	L
19/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	83-80	W
17/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	81-85	L
11/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	71-82	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Utsunomiya Brex?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Shimane Susanoo Magic 51% · Utsunomiya Brex 49%).

How many points are expected in Shimane Susanoo Magic vs Utsunomiya Brex?

The model estimates 167.3 total points (Shimane Susanoo Magic 83.8 · Utsunomiya Brex 83.5).