Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 15/11, 06:05
Prediction: Levanga Hokkaido vs Saga Ballooners
Team pages: Levanga Hokkaido · Saga Ballooners
Prediction summary
Estimated points
182.7Total
Levanga Hokkaido98.9
Saga Ballooners83.8
1X2
Levanga Hokkaido
Saga Ballooners
Recent form · 10 last
Levanga Hokkaido
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Saga Ballooners
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Levanga Hokkaido
3–3
Saga Ballooners
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners90-109Levanga Hokkaido
- Saga Ballooners79-76Levanga Hokkaido
- Levanga Hokkaido95-93Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners89-73Levanga Hokkaido
- Saga Ballooners78-98Levanga Hokkaido
- Levanga Hokkaido72-87Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Levanga Hokkaido 1541 · Saga Ballooners 1400
| Levanga Hokkaido | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
182.7 points · Bet365 line 186.5 · -3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points182.7Levanga Hokkaido 98.9 · Saga Ballooners 83.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanga Hokkaido (rating 1541 vs 1400).
- Levanga Hokkaido is a clear favourite (86% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Levanga Hokkaido | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 97 / 94.1 | 79.5 / 95.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 100 / 94.8 | 84.8 / 99.4 |
| Est. result | 99 | 84 |
Est. total182.7
Line O/U186.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Levanga Hokkaido 3–0–3 Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 90-109 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 08/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 79-76 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 12/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Levanga Hokkaido | 95-93 | Saga Ballooners |
| 13/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 89-73 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 12/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 78-98 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 03/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Levanga Hokkaido | 72-87 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1204 | 997 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1286 | 1119 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1049 | 979 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1349 | 1268 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1335 | 1306 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1383 | 1421 | 0 |
| 8 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1253 | 1229 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1426 | 1475 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1391 | 1479 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1279 | 1397 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1167 | 1423 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1121 | 1455 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Levanga Hokkaido | Saga Ballooners |
|---|---|---|
| Kobe Storks | 100-79 W | 84-77 W |
| Kyoto Hannaryz | 85-79 W | 70-115 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Levanga Hokkaido (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Levanga Hokkaido
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
100-79 | W |
| 11/11 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
96-110 | L |
| 09/11 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
85-79 | W |
| 06/11 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
123-118 | W |
| 01/11 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
96-88 | W |
| 31/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
69-101 | L |
| 24/10 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
96-93 | W |
| 21/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
87-105 | L |
| 18/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
109-78 | W |
| 16/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
109-90 | W |
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
72-90 | L |
| 08/11 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
103-111 | L |
| 01/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
78-84 | L |
| 31/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
83-100 | L |
| 26/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
88-112 | L |
| 21/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
66-84 | L |
| 18/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
70-115 | L |
| 16/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
90-109 | L |
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Levanga Hokkaido vs Saga Ballooners?
Our model gives 86% to Levanga Hokkaido.
How many points are expected in Levanga Hokkaido vs Saga Ballooners?
The model estimates 182.7 total points (Levanga Hokkaido 98.9 · Saga Ballooners 83.8).