Basketball · Slovakia Extraliga · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Prievidza vs Nitra Blue Wings
Team pages: Prievidza · Nitra Blue Wings
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
161Total
Prievidza85.2
Nitra Blue Wings75.8
1X2
Prievidza
Nitra Blue Wings
Recent form · 10 last
Prievidza
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Nitra Blue Wings
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Prievidza
2–4
Nitra Blue Wings
(6 last)
- Nitra Blue Wings87-78Prievidza
- Nitra Blue Wings79-82Prievidza
- Prievidza88-71Nitra Blue Wings
- Nitra Blue Wings84-74Prievidza
- Prievidza72-74Nitra Blue Wings
- Prievidza84-87Nitra Blue Wings
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Prievidza 1581 · Nitra Blue Wings 1472
| Prievidza | Nitra Blue Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
161 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161Prievidza 85.2 · Nitra Blue Wings 75.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Prievidza (rating 1581 vs 1472).
- Prievidza is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Nitra Blue Wings: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Prievidza | Nitra Blue Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.1 / 79 | 78.1 / 75.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 77.6 | 84.4 / 78.6 |
| Est. result | 85 | 76 |
Est. total161
Line O/U162.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Prievidza 2–0–4 Nitra Blue Wings
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Slovakia Extraliga | Nitra Blue Wings | 87-78 | Prievidza |
| 20/02/26 Slovakia Cup | Nitra Blue Wings | 79-82 | Prievidza |
| 17/01/26 Slovakia Extraliga | Prievidza | 88-71 | Nitra Blue Wings |
| 13/12/25 Slovakia Extraliga | Nitra Blue Wings | 84-74 | Prievidza |
| 08/10/25 Slovakia Extraliga | Prievidza | 72-74 | Nitra Blue Wings |
| 17/04/25 Slovakia Extraliga | Prievidza | 84-87 | Nitra Blue Wings |
Standings · Slovakia Extraliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrioti Levice | 4 | 4 | 0 | 368 | 304 | 8 |
| 2 | Prievidza | 3 | 3 | 0 | 301 | 206 | 6 |
| 3 | Spissky Rytieri | 3 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 157 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter Bratislava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 274 | 337 | 6 |
| 5 | Nitra Blue Wings | 3 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 240 | 5 |
| 6 | Komarno | 4 | 1 | 3 | 321 | 330 | 5 |
| 7 | MBK Handlova | 4 | 1 | 3 | 294 | 340 | 5 |
| 8 | Kosice Wolves | 4 | 1 | 3 | 301 | 372 | 5 |
| 9 | BKM Lucenec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 264 | 4 |
| 10 | BC Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 210 | 4 |
| 11 | Iskra Svit | 4 | 0 | 4 | 294 | 349 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prievidza
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
100-50 | W |
| 03/10 | Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga |
104-77 | W |
| 27/09 | BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga |
97-79 | W |
| 06/05 | Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga |
66-77 | L |
| 02/05 | Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga |
78-105 | L |
| 29/04 | Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga |
75-94 | L |
| 26/04 | Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga |
90-100 | L |
| 18/04 | Komarno Slovakia Extraliga |
75-73 | W |
| 15/04 | Komarno Slovakia Extraliga |
81-64 | W |
| 11/04 | Komarno Slovakia Extraliga |
85-71 | W |
Nitra Blue Wings
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga |
91-65 | W |
| 03/10 | BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga |
87-94 | L |
| 30/09 | MBK Handlova Slovakia Extraliga |
98-81 | W |
| 11/05 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
65-79 | L |
| 08/05 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
81-74 | W |
| 05/05 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
62-77 | L |
| 01/05 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
80-77 | W |
| 29/04 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
63-70 | L |
| 25/04 | BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga |
65-71 | L |
| 17/04 | BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga |
89-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prievidza vs Nitra Blue Wings?
Our model gives 75% to Prievidza.
How many points are expected in Prievidza vs Nitra Blue Wings?
The model estimates 161 total points (Prievidza 85.2 · Nitra Blue Wings 75.8).