Basketball · Slovakia Extraliga · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: BC Slovan Bratislava vs Nitra Blue Wings

Team pages: BC Slovan Bratislava · Nitra Blue Wings

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.8Total

BC Slovan Bratislava87

Nitra Blue Wings71.8

1X2

86% 14%

BC Slovan Bratislava Nitra Blue Wings

Recent form · 10 last

BC Slovan Bratislava 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLWWW

Nitra Blue Wings 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

BC Slovan Bratislava 4–2 Nitra Blue Wings (6 last)

BC Slovan Bratislava79-65Nitra Blue Wings
Nitra Blue Wings81-74BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava77-62Nitra Blue Wings
Nitra Blue Wings80-77BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava70-63Nitra Blue Wings
Nitra Blue Wings65-71BC Slovan Bratislava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BC Slovan Bratislava 1573 · Nitra Blue Wings 1445

	BC Slovan Bratislava	Nitra Blue Wings
Our model	78%	22%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 158.8 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -5.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.8BC Slovan Bratislava 87 · Nitra Blue Wings 71.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BC Slovan Bratislava (rating 1573 vs 1445).
BC Slovan Bratislava is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours BC Slovan Bratislava: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BC Slovan Bratislava	Nitra Blue Wings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80 / 76	81.1 / 84.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84 / 69.4	85 / 91.2
Est. result	87	72

Est. total158.8

Line O/U164.5

Diff.5.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

28.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-15.5)1.83

2 (+15.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 160.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05
2	8.25 → 8.25	Bet365 8.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	2
15:40 +7’	1.05	8.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:50 +1’	1.03	6.71
19:50 +2’	1.03▲	6.70▼
20:44 +5’	1.03▼	6.78▲
09:41 +5’	1.03	6.82▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BC Slovan Bratislava 4–0–2 Nitra Blue Wings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	79-65	Nitra Blue Wings
08/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	81-74	BC Slovan Bratislava
05/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	77-62	Nitra Blue Wings
01/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	80-77	BC Slovan Bratislava
29/04/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	70-63	Nitra Blue Wings
25/04/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	65-71	BC Slovan Bratislava

Standings · Slovakia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Prievidza	7	7	0	684	510	14
2	Patrioti Levice	7	7	0	639	540	14
3	Kosice Wolves	8	4	4	628	678	12
4	BC Slovan Bratislava	7	5	2	514	426	11
5	Inter Bratislava	8	3	5	558	672	11
6	Spissky Rytieri	7	3	4	540	527	10
7	MBK Handlova	7	3	4	554	577	10
8	Nitra Blue Wings	7	3	4	596	622	10
9	BKM Lucenec	6	3	3	508	528	9
10	Komarno	8	2	6	631	676	9
11	Iskra Svit	8	0	8	617	713	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BC Slovan Bratislava	Nitra Blue Wings
Iskra Svit	96-77 W	91-65 W
MBK Handlova	62-63 L	98-81 W
BKM Lucenec	80-68 W	87-94 L
Kosice Wolves	94-59 W	84-92 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BC Slovan Bratislava

WLLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Komarno Slovakia Extraliga	88-75	W
30/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	94-64	W
27/10	Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga	96-77	W
14/10	MBK Handlova Slovakia Extraliga	62-63	L
30/09	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	80-68	W
24/09	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	94-59	W
29/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	76-126	L
24/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	65-69	L
21/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-93	L
19/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	73-66	W

Nitra Blue Wings

WLWLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Spissky Rytieri Slovakia Extraliga	84-83	W
31/10	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	84-92	L
17/10	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	79-122	L
10/10	Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga	91-65	W
03/10	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	87-94	L
30/09	MBK Handlova Slovakia Extraliga	98-81	W
11/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	65-79	L
08/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	81-74	W
05/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	62-77	L
01/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	80-77	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BC Slovan Bratislava vs Nitra Blue Wings?

Our model gives 86% to BC Slovan Bratislava.

How many points are expected in BC Slovan Bratislava vs Nitra Blue Wings?

The model estimates 158.8 total points (BC Slovan Bratislava 87 · Nitra Blue Wings 71.8).