Basketball · Belgium Top Division 1 · 04/09, 20:45

Prediction: Falco Gent vs Kontich Wolves

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.1Total

Falco Gent81.4

Kontich Wolves79.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Falco Gent Kontich Wolves

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Falco Gent 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Kontich Wolves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Falco Gent 2–1 Kontich Wolves (3 last)

Kontich Wolves67-69Falco Gent
Falco Gent78-90Kontich Wolves
Kontich Wolves72-77Falco Gent

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Falco Gent 1401 · Kontich Wolves 1489

	Falco Gent	Kontich Wolves
Our model	50%	50%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 161.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.1Falco Gent 81.4 · Kontich Wolves 79.7

Match keys

H2H favours Falco Gent: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Falco Gent	Kontich Wolves
Points F\|A (Last 10)	70.6 / 80.5	83.3 / 87.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	71.2 / 86	84.8 / 90.6
Est. result	81	80

Est. total161.1

Line O/U164.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 161.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.70 ★
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	2
13:41 +4’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:46	1.70	1.91
22:46	1.70▼	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Falco Gent 2–0–1 Kontich Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Belgium Top Division 1	Kontich Wolves	67-69	Falco Gent
03/10/25 Belgium Top Division 1	Falco Gent	78-90	Kontich Wolves
28/09/24 Belgium Top Division 1	Kontich Wolves	72-77	Falco Gent

Standings · Belgium Top Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Port of Antwerp Giants B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Avanti Brugge Knights	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Remant Basics Melsele-Beveren	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Basket SKT Ieper	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Basket Team Waregem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Basket Willebroek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bavi Vilvoorde	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BBC Croonen Lommel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Falco Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BC Guco Lier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kontich Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LDP Donza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Belfius BCCA Neufchateau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	United Woluwe	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Falco Gent	Kontich Wolves
CB Liege	75-95 L	76-99 L
Basket Willebroek	63-66 L	102-107 L
LDP Donza	60-76 L	87-76 W
Avanti Brugge Knights	73-66 W	71-87 L
Basket SKT Ieper	86-77 W	74-67 W
BC Guco Lier	71-87 L	85-104 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Falco Gent (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Falco Gent

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/04	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	75-95	L
24/04	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	70-100	L
17/04	Port of Antwerp Giants B Belgium Top Division 1	71-85	L
11/04	Spirou Charleroi B Belgium Top Division 1	77-84	L
06/04	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	63-66	L
28/03	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	60-76	L
20/03	Avanti Brugge Knights Belgium Top Division 1	73-66	W
14/03	Basket SKT Ieper Belgium Top Division 1	86-77	W
08/03	Belfius BCCA Neufchateau Belgium Top Division 1	60-69	L
01/03	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	71-87	L

Kontich Wolves

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/04	BC Guco Lier Belgium Top Division 1	85-104	L
11/04	Basket Willebroek Belgium Top Division 1	102-107	L
03/04	LDP Donza Belgium Top Division 1	87-76	W
28/03	Basket SKT Ieper Belgium Top Division 1	74-67	W
22/03	CB Liege Belgium Top Division 1	76-99	L
15/03	Avanti Brugge Knights Belgium Top Division 1	71-87	L
07/03	Gembo Borgerhout Belgium Top Division 1	84-81	W
27/02	BBC Croonen Lommel Belgium Top Division 1	92-71	W
22/02	Basket Team Waregem Belgium Top Division 1	76-100	L
14/02	United Woluwe Belgium Top Division 1	86-85	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Falco Gent vs Kontich Wolves?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Falco Gent 55% · Kontich Wolves 45%).

How many points are expected in Falco Gent vs Kontich Wolves?

The model estimates 161.1 total points (Falco Gent 81.4 · Kontich Wolves 79.7).