Basketball · Poland PLK · 15/11, 17:30
Prediction: Stal Ostrow vs Dziki Warszawa
Team pages: Stal Ostrow · Dziki Warszawa
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.7Total
Stal Ostrow76.3
Dziki Warszawa82.4
1X2
Stal Ostrow
Dziki Warszawa
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Ostrow
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Dziki Warszawa
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Ostrow
1–5
Dziki Warszawa
(6 last)
- Stal Ostrow73-83Dziki Warszawa
- Dziki Warszawa80-61Stal Ostrow
- Stal Ostrow94-67Dziki Warszawa
- Dziki Warszawa88-63Stal Ostrow
- Stal Ostrow68-75Dziki Warszawa
- Dziki Warszawa86-65Stal Ostrow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Ostrow 1462 · Dziki Warszawa 1591
| Stal Ostrow | Dziki Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.7 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -9.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.7Stal Ostrow 76.3 · Dziki Warszawa 82.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dziki Warszawa (rating 1462 vs 1591).
- Dziki Warszawa is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Dziki Warszawa: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Stal Ostrow | Dziki Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.2 / 82.4 | 87.9 / 78.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.4 / 81.2 | 89.4 / 76.8 |
| Est. result | 76 | 82 |
Est. total158.7
Line O/U168.5
Diff.9.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Ostrow 1–0–5 Dziki Warszawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Poland PLK | Stal Ostrow | 73-83 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 28/12/25 Poland PLK | Dziki Warszawa | 80-61 | Stal Ostrow |
| 26/01/25 Poland PLK | Stal Ostrow | 94-67 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 05/10/24 Poland PLK | Dziki Warszawa | 88-63 | Stal Ostrow |
| 05/01/24 Poland PLK | Stal Ostrow | 68-75 | Dziki Warszawa |
| 23/09/23 Poland PLK | Dziki Warszawa | 86-65 | Stal Ostrow |
Standings · Poland PLK
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 582 | 522 | 12 |
| 2 | MKS Dabrowa Gornicza | 6 | 6 | 0 | 550 | 497 | 12 |
| 3 | Dziki Warszawa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 549 | 447 | 11 |
| 4 | King Wilki Morskie Szczecin | 6 | 5 | 1 | 534 | 483 | 11 |
| 5 | Zielona Gora | 6 | 4 | 2 | 506 | 501 | 10 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 4 | 2 | 509 | 498 | 10 |
| 7 | Gtk Gliwice | 7 | 3 | 4 | 570 | 576 | 10 |
| 8 | Anwil Wloclawek | 7 | 3 | 4 | 541 | 573 | 10 |
| 9 | Astoria Bydgoszcz | 6 | 3 | 3 | 512 | 529 | 9 |
| 10 | Start Lublin | 7 | 2 | 5 | 524 | 573 | 9 |
| 11 | Gornik Walbrzych | 6 | 3 | 3 | 508 | 500 | 9 |
| 12 | Legia Warszawa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 460 | 485 | 9 |
| 13 | Polski Cukier Torun | 6 | 2 | 4 | 510 | 529 | 8 |
| 14 | Stal Ostrow | 6 | 2 | 4 | 461 | 485 | 8 |
| 15 | Czarni Slupsk | 6 | 0 | 6 | 486 | 525 | 6 |
| 16 | Trefl Sopot | 6 | 0 | 6 | 472 | 551 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stal Ostrow | Dziki Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| Anwil Wloclawek | 82-83 L | 96-75 W |
| Legia Warszawa | 74-84 L | 92-77 W |
| Czarni Slupsk | 87-84 W | 91-81 W |
| Gornik Walbrzych | 65-81 L | 71-74 L |
| Start Lublin | 84-79 W | 97-77 W |
| Trefl Sopot | 86-88 L | 102-63 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dziki Warszawa (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Ostrow
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Zielona Gora Poland PLK |
69-74 | L |
| 30/10 | Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK |
82-83 | L |
| 25/10 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
74-84 | L |
| 19/10 | Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK |
87-84 | W |
| 12/10 | Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK |
65-81 | L |
| 03/10 | Start Lublin Poland PLK |
84-79 | W |
| 08/05 | MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK |
86-94 | L |
| 06/05 | Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK |
86-74 | W |
| 02/05 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
86-88 | L |
| 25/04 | Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK |
73-83 | L |
Dziki Warszawa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK |
96-75 | W |
| 31/10 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
92-77 | W |
| 25/10 | Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK |
91-81 | W |
| 18/10 | Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK |
71-74 | L |
| 11/10 | Start Lublin Poland PLK |
97-77 | W |
| 02/10 | Trefl Sopot Poland PLK |
102-63 | W |
| 12/06 | Arka Gdynia Poland PLK |
92-78 | W |
| 09/06 | Arka Gdynia Poland PLK |
84-89 | L |
| 01/06 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
78-91 | L |
| 29/05 | Legia Warszawa Poland PLK |
76-78 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Ostrow vs Dziki Warszawa?
Our model gives 67% to Dziki Warszawa.
How many points are expected in Stal Ostrow vs Dziki Warszawa?
The model estimates 158.7 total points (Stal Ostrow 76.3 · Dziki Warszawa 82.4).