Basketball · Norway Ligaen · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: Fyllingen vs Ammerud Basket
Prediction summary
Estimated points
180.3Total
Fyllingen94.4
Ammerud Basket85.9
1X2
Fyllingen
Ammerud Basket
Markets
Under 187.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Fyllingen
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ammerud Basket
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fyllingen
5–1
Ammerud Basket
(6 last)
- Fyllingen88-80Ammerud Basket
- Ammerud Basket84-100Fyllingen
- Fyllingen100-61Ammerud Basket
- Ammerud Basket73-75Fyllingen
- Ammerud Basket73-116Fyllingen
- Fyllingen106-107Ammerud Basket
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fyllingen 1526 · Ammerud Basket 1534
| Fyllingen | Ammerud Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
180.3 points · Bet365 line 187.5 · -7.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points180.3Fyllingen 94.4 · Ammerud Basket 85.9
Over / Under 187.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~178.7 pts · strength 9
Match keys
- Fyllingen is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Fyllingen: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Fyllingen | Ammerud Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 99 / 84.9 | 94 / 85.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 108 / 79.8 | 104.4 / 82.8 |
| Est. result | 94 | 86 |
Est. total180.3
Line O/U187.5
Diff.7.2
Over / Under30% / 70%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fyllingen 5–0–1 Ammerud Basket
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Norway Ligaen | Fyllingen | 88-80 | Ammerud Basket |
| 09/11/25 Norway Ligaen | Ammerud Basket | 84-100 | Fyllingen |
| 27/09/25 Norway Ligaen | Fyllingen | 100-61 | Ammerud Basket |
| 02/02/25 Norway Ligaen | Ammerud Basket | 73-75 | Fyllingen |
| 01/12/24 Norway Ligaen | Ammerud Basket | 73-116 | Fyllingen |
| 20/10/24 Norway Ligaen | Fyllingen | 106-107 | Ammerud Basket |
Standings · Norway Ligaen
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimle BBK | 7 | 7 | 0 | 673 | 512 | 14 |
| 2 | Froya Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 569 | 414 | 10 |
| 3 | Ammerud Basket | 5 | 5 | 0 | 522 | 414 | 10 |
| 4 | Kongsberg Miners | 6 | 4 | 2 | 572 | 471 | 8 |
| 5 | Fyllingen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 540 | 399 | 6 |
| 6 | Tromso Storm | 7 | 3 | 4 | 659 | 679 | 6 |
| 7 | Baerum Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 588 | 703 | 4 |
| 8 | Centrum Tigers | 6 | 2 | 4 | 470 | 525 | 4 |
| 9 | Nidaros Jets | 8 | 1 | 7 | 570 | 808 | 2 |
| 10 | TNT Towers | 7 | 0 | 7 | 520 | 758 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fyllingen | Ammerud Basket |
|---|---|---|
| Kongsberg Miners | 67-99 L | 99-88 W |
| TNT Towers | 153-91 W | 102-58 W |
| Nidaros Jets | 142-61 W | 101-68 W |
| Tromso Storm | 110-68 W | 117-107 W |
| Gimle BBK | 68-80 L | 66-90 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fyllingen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fyllingen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kongsberg Miners Norway Ligaen |
67-99 | L |
| 11/10 | TNT Towers Norway Ligaen |
153-91 | W |
| 10/10 | Nidaros Jets Norway Ligaen |
142-61 | W |
| 26/09 | Tromso Storm Norway Ligaen |
110-68 | W |
| 20/09 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
68-80 | L |
| 30/04 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
80-76 | W |
| 27/04 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
89-87 | W |
| 23/04 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
105-107 | L |
| 21/04 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
92-89 | W |
| 16/04 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
84-91 | L |
Ammerud Basket
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Kongsberg Miners Norway Ligaen |
99-88 | W |
| 11/10 | Tromso Storm Norway Ligaen |
117-107 | W |
| 04/10 | Nidaros Jets Norway Ligaen |
101-68 | W |
| 30/09 | TNT Towers Norway Ligaen |
102-58 | W |
| 20/09 | Baerum Basket Norway Ligaen |
103-93 | W |
| 15/03 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
66-90 | L |
| 12/03 | Gimle BBK Norway Ligaen |
69-83 | L |
| 04/03 | TNT Towers Norway Ligaen |
92-77 | W |
| 22/02 | Froya Basket Norway Ligaen |
96-99 | L |
| 19/02 | Kongsberg Miners Norway Ligaen |
95-88 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fyllingen vs Ammerud Basket?
Our model gives 73% to Fyllingen.
How many points are expected in Fyllingen vs Ammerud Basket?
The model estimates 180.3 total points (Fyllingen 94.4 · Ammerud Basket 85.9).
Over or under 187.5 points?
Recent history points to under 187.5 points (70%).