Basketball · Finland Korisliigan · 03/11, 17:30
Prediction: Salon Vilpas vs Kataja Basket
Team pages: Kataja Basket
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Salon Vilpas86.3
Kataja Basket78.1
1X2
Salon Vilpas
Kataja Basket
Recent form · 10 last
Salon Vilpas
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Kataja Basket
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salon Vilpas
4–2
Kataja Basket
(6 last)
- Salon Vilpas100-69Kataja Basket
- Kataja Basket75-59Salon Vilpas
- Salon Vilpas90-81Kataja Basket
- Kataja Basket79-86Salon Vilpas
- Salon Vilpas82-45Kataja Basket
- Kataja Basket75-70Salon Vilpas
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Salon Vilpas 86.3 · Kataja Basket 78.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salon Vilpas (rating 1538 vs 1467).
- Salon Vilpas is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Salon Vilpas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Salon Vilpas | Kataja Basket | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.5 / 80.6 | 81.4 / 86.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 79 | 80.2 / 91.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 78 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U163.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salon Vilpas 4–0–2 Kataja Basket
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Salon Vilpas | 100-69 | Kataja Basket |
| 16/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Kataja Basket | 75-59 | Salon Vilpas |
| 14/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Salon Vilpas | 90-81 | Kataja Basket |
| 12/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Kataja Basket | 79-86 | Salon Vilpas |
| 09/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Salon Vilpas | 82-45 | Kataja Basket |
| 05/05/26 Finland Korisliigan | Kataja Basket | 75-70 | Salon Vilpas |
Standings · Finland Korisliigan
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP Basket Kotka | 7 | 7 | 0 | 655 | 548 | 14 |
| 2 | Kipina Basket | 7 | 6 | 1 | 682 | 628 | 12 |
| 3 | Tapiolan Honka | 7 | 5 | 2 | 705 | 681 | 10 |
| 4 | Salon Vilpas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 616 | 581 | 8 |
| 5 | Tampereen Pyrinto | 7 | 4 | 3 | 602 | 603 | 8 |
| 6 | Kauhajoen Karhu | 7 | 3 | 4 | 588 | 581 | 6 |
| 7 | Lahti Basketball | 7 | 3 | 4 | 592 | 609 | 6 |
| 8 | Helsinki Seagulls | 7 | 3 | 4 | 536 | 565 | 6 |
| 9 | Kataja Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 589 | 612 | 4 |
| 10 | Korihait | 7 | 2 | 5 | 602 | 644 | 4 |
| 11 | Bisons Loimaa | 7 | 2 | 5 | 512 | 588 | 4 |
| 12 | Kouvot | 7 | 1 | 6 | 587 | 626 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salon Vilpas | Kataja Basket |
|---|---|---|
| Helsinki Seagulls | 79-86 L | 102-83 W |
| Bisons Loimaa | 81-70 W | 86-71 W |
| Tampereen Pyrinto | 97-79 W | 79-84 L |
| Tapiolan Honka | 104-107 L | 99-108 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salon Vilpas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan |
79-86 | L |
| 24/10 | Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan |
79-64 | W |
| 17/10 | Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan |
81-70 | W |
| 14/10 | KTP Basket Kotka Finland Korisliigan |
81-102 | L |
| 10/10 | Korihait Finland Korisliigan |
95-73 | W |
| 03/10 | Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan |
97-79 | W |
| 29/09 | Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan |
104-107 | L |
| 19/05 | Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan |
100-69 | W |
| 16/05 | Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan |
59-75 | L |
| 14/05 | Kataja Basket Finland Korisliigan |
90-81 | W |
Kataja Basket
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan |
79-84 | L |
| 21/10 | Tampereen Pyrinto Finland Korisliigan |
62-80 | L |
| 16/10 | Kouvot Finland Korisliigan |
76-95 | L |
| 10/10 | Tapiolan Honka Finland Korisliigan |
99-108 | L |
| 07/10 | Lahti Basketball Finland Korisliigan |
85-91 | L |
| 03/10 | Bisons Loimaa Finland Korisliigan |
86-71 | W |
| 29/09 | Helsinki Seagulls Finland Korisliigan |
102-83 | W |
| 19/05 | Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan |
69-100 | L |
| 16/05 | Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan |
75-59 | W |
| 14/05 | Salon Vilpas Finland Korisliigan |
81-90 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salon Vilpas vs Kataja Basket?
Our model gives 72% to Salon Vilpas.
How many points are expected in Salon Vilpas vs Kataja Basket?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Salon Vilpas 86.3 · Kataja Basket 78.1).