Basketball · Czechia NBL · 23/09, 18:00

Prediction: BK Olomoucko vs BK JIP Pardubice

Team pages: BK Olomoucko · BK JIP Pardubice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.1Total

BK Olomoucko74.5

BK JIP Pardubice89.6

1X2

14% 86%

BK Olomoucko BK JIP Pardubice

Recent form · 10 last

BK Olomoucko 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLLL

BK JIP Pardubice 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

BK Olomoucko 1–5 BK JIP Pardubice (6 last)

BK JIP Pardubice92-68BK Olomoucko
BK Olomoucko79-82BK JIP Pardubice
BK Olomoucko64-83BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice87-73BK Olomoucko
BK Olomoucko78-75BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice71-63BK Olomoucko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Olomoucko 1398 · BK JIP Pardubice 1582

	BK Olomoucko	BK JIP Pardubice
Our model	37%	63%
Market	9%	91%

Estimated total (ours) 164.1 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.1BK Olomoucko 74.5 · BK JIP Pardubice 89.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK JIP Pardubice (rating 1398 vs 1582).
BK JIP Pardubice is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours BK JIP Pardubice: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BK Olomoucko	BK JIP Pardubice
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.3 / 81.6	83.1 / 82
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 88.6	83.4 / 83.8
Est. result	75	90

Est. total164.1

Line O/U164.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

110.50

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+18.5)1.83

2 (-18.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 165

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.75 → 10.50▲	Bet365 10.50
2	1.09 → 1.02▼	Pinn 8.94 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	2
11:44 +3’	6.75	1.09
12:40 +6’	10.50▲	1.02▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:35 +12’	1.02	9.98
20:12 +36’	1.02▲	9.64▼
21:14 +32’	1.02▲	9.55▼
02:21 +25’	1.02	9.52▼
08:05 +40’	1.02▼	9.62▲
10:38 +8’	1.02▲	9.23▼
11:35 +12’	1.03▲	8.99▼
12:37 +10’	1.03▲	8.94▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Olomoucko 1–0–5 BK JIP Pardubice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/01/26 Czechia Cup	BK JIP Pardubice	92-68	BK Olomoucko
17/01/26 Czechia NBL	BK Olomoucko	79-82	BK JIP Pardubice
07/01/26 Czechia Cup	BK Olomoucko	64-83	BK JIP Pardubice
12/11/25 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	87-73	BK Olomoucko
13/04/25 Czechia NBL	BK Olomoucko	78-75	BK JIP Pardubice
11/04/25 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	71-63	BK Olomoucko

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	BK Decin	1	1	0	109	79
2	GAPA Hradec Kralove	1	1	0	93	81
3	NH Ostrava	1	1	0	89	77
4	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk	1	1	0	88	80
5	BK JIP Pardubice	1	1	0	85	79
6	Sokol Pisek	1	1	0	80	78
7	Usti Nad Labem	1	0	1	78	80
8	Brno	1	0	1	79	85
9	USK Praha	1	0	1	80	88
10	BK Olomoucko	1	0	1	81	93
11	BK Opava	1	0	1	77	89
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	1	0	1	79	109

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Olomoucko

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	81-93	L
24/04	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	71-102	L
22/04	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	77-81	L
11/04	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	84-86	L
09/04	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	88-81	W
04/04	USK Praha Czechia NBL	95-65	W
25/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	86-77	W
21/03	USK Praha Czechia NBL	87-90	L
18/03	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	86-71	W
14/03	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	78-70	W

BK JIP Pardubice

WWLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Brno Czechia NBL	85-79	W
15/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	74-91	L
13/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	86-57	W
11/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	71-92	L
08/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	101-100	W
07/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	79-78	W
03/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	74-80	L
02/06	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	73-81	L
27/05	Brno Czechia NBL	98-87	W
25/05	Brno Czechia NBL	90-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Olomoucko vs BK JIP Pardubice?

Our model gives 86% to BK JIP Pardubice.

How many points are expected in BK Olomoucko vs BK JIP Pardubice?

The model estimates 164.1 total points (BK Olomoucko 74.5 · BK JIP Pardubice 89.6).