Basketball · Czechia NBL · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Sokol Pisek vs NH Ostrava

Team pages: Sokol Pisek · NH Ostrava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.7Total

Sokol Pisek91

NH Ostrava83.7

1X2

70% 30%

Sokol Pisek NH Ostrava

Markets

Under 175.5 points 68%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Pisek 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWLL

NH Ostrava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Sokol Pisek 6–0 NH Ostrava (6 last)

Sokol Pisek104-81NH Ostrava
NH Ostrava71-99Sokol Pisek
NH Ostrava101-105Sokol Pisek
Sokol Pisek84-77NH Ostrava
Sokol Pisek89-78NH Ostrava
NH Ostrava88-97Sokol Pisek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Pisek 1510 · NH Ostrava 1481

	Sokol Pisek	NH Ostrava
Our model	66%	34%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 174.7 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.7Sokol Pisek 91 · NH Ostrava 83.7

Over / Under 175.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~168.1 pts · strength 7

Match keys

Sokol Pisek is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Sokol Pisek: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sokol Pisek	NH Ostrava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.9 / 86.9	81.6 / 91.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 88.6	87.4 / 84.4
Est. result	91	84

Est. total174.7

Line O/U175.5

Diff.0.8

Over / Under32% / 68%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6)1.83

2 (+6)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 3.5 · Est. total: 172

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.32 ★
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	2
10:36 +26’	1.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:09 +41’	1.32	3.06
20:05 +7’	1.33▲	3.01▼
14:58 +25’	1.28▼	3.27▲
21:09 +45’	1.30▲	3.16▼
23:41 +7’	1.32▲	3.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Pisek 6–0–0 NH Ostrava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	104-81	NH Ostrava
07/02/26 Czechia NBL	NH Ostrava	71-99	Sokol Pisek
15/11/25 Czechia NBL	NH Ostrava	101-105	Sokol Pisek
28/09/25 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	84-77	NH Ostrava
17/11/24 Czechia NBL	Sokol Pisek	89-78	NH Ostrava
25/09/24 Czechia NBL	NH Ostrava	88-97	Sokol Pisek

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	6	6	0	604	454
2	BK JIP Pardubice	6	5	1	535	496
3	Usti Nad Labem	5	4	1	451	378
4	BK Decin	6	4	2	514	447
5	NH Ostrava	5	3	2	437	422
6	Sokol Pisek	5	3	2	450	443
7	BK Opava	6	3	3	506	535
8	USK Praha	6	2	4	494	518
9	GAPA Hradec Kralove	6	2	4	514	563
10	BK Olomoucko	5	1	4	325	433
11	Brno	5	0	5	397	447
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	5	0	5	397	488

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Pisek	NH Ostrava
BK JIP Pardubice	82-92 L	98-110 L
GAPA Hradec Kralove	111-87 W	89-82 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Pisek (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Pisek

WLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	USK Praha Czechia NBL	89-105	L
30/09	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	82-92	L
27/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	88-81	W
23/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	111-87	W
20/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-78	W
05/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	71-79	L
04/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	63-78	L
01/05	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	74-78	L
30/04	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	81-99	L
23/04	USK Praha Czechia NBL	100-92	W

NH Ostrava

WLLLLWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	98-110	L
30/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	89-82	W
27/09	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	76-77	L
23/09	Brno Czechia NBL	85-76	W
19/09	BK Opava Czechia NBL	89-77	W
05/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	70-116	L
04/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	71-93	L
01/05	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	67-101	L
30/04	ERA Nymburk Czechia NBL	69-113	L
24/04	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	102-71	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Pisek vs NH Ostrava?

Our model gives 70% to Sokol Pisek.

How many points are expected in Sokol Pisek vs NH Ostrava?

The model estimates 174.7 total points (Sokol Pisek 91 · NH Ostrava 83.7).

Over or under 175.5 points?

Recent history points to under 175.5 points (68%).