Basketball · Brazil Copa Sao Paulo · 11/07, 00:30

Prediction: Basquete Tatui vs Corinthians

Estimated 149.8 total points (Basquete Tatui 74.4 · Corinthians 75.4).

Over its last 10 matches, Basquete Tatui sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while Corinthians arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Basquete Tatui and 3 for Corinthians.

56%2
44% 56%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basquete Tatui 1508 · Corinthians 1544
Basquete TatuiCorinthians
Our model58%42%
Market40%60%
Estimated total (ours) 149.8 points · Bet365 line 150.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points149.8Basquete Tatui 74.4 · Corinthians 75.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Corinthians: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Basquete TatuiCorinthians
Points F|A (Last 10)68.8 / 73.679.5 / 77.3
Points F|A (Last 5)83.2 / 7073.4 / 71.6
Est. result7475
Est. total149.8
Line O/U150.5
Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Basquete Tatui 203 Corinthians

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/07/26
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
Corinthians75-73Basquete Tatui
05/07/26
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
Corinthians81-69Basquete Tatui
02/07/26
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
Basquete Tatui98-61Corinthians
31/05/26
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
Corinthians109-44Basquete Tatui
19/04/26
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
Basquete Tatui76-65Corinthians

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBasquete TatuiCorinthians
Liga Sorocabana 37-67 L 75-59 W
Sorocaba Basquete 37-67 L 75-59 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basquete Tatui

LLWWLWWWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
07/07 Corinthians
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
73-75 L
05/07 Corinthians
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
69-81 L
02/07 Corinthians
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
98-61 W
06/06 Limeira
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
99-57 W
04/06 Limeira
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
77-76 W
31/05 Corinthians
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
44-109 L
28/05 Brusque
Brazil Liga Ouro
81-76 W
26/05 Brusque
Brazil Liga Ouro
73-67 W
24/05 Liga Sorocabana
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
37-67 L
24/05 Sorocaba Basquete
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
37-67 L

Corinthians

LWWWLWWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
07/07 Basquete Tatui
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
75-73 W
05/07 Basquete Tatui
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
81-69 W
02/07 Basquete Tatui
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
61-98 L
17/06 Sorocaba Basquete
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
75-59 W
17/06 Liga Sorocabana
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
75-59 W
16/06 Liga Sorocabana
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
87-89 L
13/06 Liga Sorocabana
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
85-84 W
13/06 Sorocaba Basquete
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
85-84 W
10/06 F.R. Diadema
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
83-69 W
09/06 F.R. Diadema
Brazil Copa Sao Paulo
88-89 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basquete Tatui vs Corinthians?

Our model gives 56% to Corinthians.

How many points are expected in Basquete Tatui vs Corinthians?

The model estimates 149.8 total points (Basquete Tatui 74.4 · Corinthians 75.4).