Basketball · Austria Bundesliga · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: Swans Gmunden vs UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

Team pages: Swans Gmunden · UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.3Total

Swans Gmunden89.8

UBSC Raiffeisen Graz79.5

1X2

77% 23%

Swans Gmunden UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

Recent form · 10 last

Swans Gmunden 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

UBSC Raiffeisen Graz 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Swans Gmunden 5–1 UBSC Raiffeisen Graz (6 last)

UBSC Raiffeisen Graz82-90Swans Gmunden
Swans Gmunden76-87UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
Swans Gmunden76-71UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
UBSC Raiffeisen Graz64-100Swans Gmunden
Swans Gmunden85-77UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
UBSC Raiffeisen Graz92-94Swans Gmunden

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Swans Gmunden 1570 · UBSC Raiffeisen Graz 1484

	Swans Gmunden	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
Our model	73%	27%
Market	78%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 169.3 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.3Swans Gmunden 89.8 · UBSC Raiffeisen Graz 79.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Swans Gmunden (rating 1570 vs 1484).
Swans Gmunden is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Swans Gmunden: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Swans Gmunden	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.2 / 80.9	84.7 / 90.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.8 / 75.2	87.2 / 89.6
Est. result	90	80

Est. total169.3

Line O/U167.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.83

2 (+9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 169.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Pinn 1.21 ★
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	2
09:14 +49’	1.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
09:54 +10’	1.21	3.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Swans Gmunden 5–0–1 UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz	82-90	Swans Gmunden
09/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	Swans Gmunden	76-87	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
21/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	Swans Gmunden	76-71	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
18/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz	64-100	Swans Gmunden
13/04/25 Austria Bundesliga	Swans Gmunden	85-77	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
28/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz	92-94	Swans Gmunden

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Swans Gmunden	7	7	0	584	539	14
2	Arkadia Traiskirchen	7	7	0	653	437	14
3	Kapfenberg Bulls	8	7	1	760	641	14
4	Oberwart Gunners	8	5	3	737	612	10
5	Raiffeisen Flyers Wels	7	3	4	575	608	6
6	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz	7	3	4	614	620	6
7	BBC Nord	7	3	4	586	612	6
8	Klosterneuburg Dukes	8	2	6	622	684	4
9	UBC St Pölten	7	2	5	518	579	4
10	Kufstein Towers	7	1	6	562	642	2
11	BC GGMT Vienna	7	0	7	464	701	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Swans Gmunden	UBSC Raiffeisen Graz
Kapfenberg Bulls	86-72 W	72-96 L
UBC St Pölten	77-76 W	105-83 W
Raiffeisen Flyers Wels	79-77 W	77-82 L
Klosterneuburg Dukes	80-75 W	102-94 W
Oberwart Gunners	90-88 W	80-93 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Swans Gmunden (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Swans Gmunden

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	BC GGMT Vienna Austria Bundesliga	86-72	W
26/10	BBC Nord Austria Bundesliga	86-79	W
24/10	Kapfenberg Bulls Austria Bundesliga	86-72	W
16/10	UBC St Pölten Austria Bundesliga	77-76	W
11/10	Raiffeisen Flyers Wels Austria Bundesliga	79-77	W
04/10	Klosterneuburg Dukes Austria Bundesliga	80-75	W
27/09	Oberwart Gunners Austria Bundesliga	90-88	W
01/05	Oberwart Gunners Austria Bundesliga	78-87	L
25/04	Oberwart Gunners Austria Bundesliga	81-102	L
22/04	Oberwart Gunners Austria Bundesliga	89-81	W

UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	UBC St Pölten Austria Bundesliga	105-83	W
24/10	Raiffeisen Flyers Wels Austria Bundesliga	77-82	L
18/10	Oberwart Gunners Austria Bundesliga	80-93	L
11/10	Klosterneuburg Dukes Austria Bundesliga	102-94	W
04/10	Kapfenberg Bulls Austria Bundesliga	72-96	L
02/10	Arkadia Traiskirchen Austria Bundesliga	82-85	L
26/09	Kufstein Towers Austria Bundesliga	96-87	W
14/05	Kapfenberg Bulls Austria Bundesliga	81-107	L
10/05	Kapfenberg Bulls Austria Bundesliga	83-88	L
07/05	Kapfenberg Bulls Austria Bundesliga	69-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Swans Gmunden vs UBSC Raiffeisen Graz?

Our model gives 77% to Swans Gmunden.

How many points are expected in Swans Gmunden vs UBSC Raiffeisen Graz?

The model estimates 169.3 total points (Swans Gmunden 89.8 · UBSC Raiffeisen Graz 79.5).