Basketball · Australia NBL1 West Women · 04/07, 11:00
Prediction: Perth Redbacks (W) vs Perry Lakes Hawks (W)
Estimated 165.4 total points (Perth Redbacks (W) 84.3 · Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 81.1).
Recent form leaves Perth Redbacks (W) with 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Perry Lakes Hawks (W) has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Perth Redbacks (W) won 2 and Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 4.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth Redbacks (W) 1507 · Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 1489
| Perth Redbacks (W) | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.4 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.4Perth Redbacks (W) 84.3 · Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 81.1
Match keys
- H2H favours Perry Lakes Hawks (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Perth Redbacks (W) | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.6 / 84.1 | 81.1 / 80.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.4 / 81.2 | 85.8 / 80.2 |
| Est. result | 84 | 81 |
Est. total165.4
Line O/U164.5
Diff.0.9
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Redbacks (W) 2–0–4 Perry Lakes Hawks (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 79-66 | Perth Redbacks (W) |
| 14/08/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perth Redbacks (W) | 80-86 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 05/07/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perth Redbacks (W) | 78-72 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 17/04/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 91-96 | Perth Redbacks (W) |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perth Redbacks (W) | 67-85 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 19/04/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 93-70 | Perth Redbacks (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cockburn Cougars (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1468 | 1245 | 0 |
| 2 | East Perth Eagles (W) | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1525 | 1339 | 0 |
| 3 | Rockingham Flames (W) | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1483 | 1205 | 0 |
| 4 | Warwick Senators (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1352 | 1216 | 0 |
| 5 | Mandurah Magic (W) | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1364 | 1316 | 0 |
| 6 | Goldfields Giants (W) | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1277 | 1239 | 0 |
| 7 | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1256 | 1311 | 0 |
| 8 | Perth Redbacks (W) | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1186 | 1203 | 0 |
| 9 | Joondalup Wolves (W) | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1337 | 1412 | 0 |
| 10 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1205 | 1227 | 0 |
| 11 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1204 | 1349 | 0 |
| 12 | Willetton Tigers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1210 | 1429 | 0 |
| 13 | South West Slammers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1131 | 1507 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perth Redbacks (W) | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Joondalup Wolves (W) | 90-88 W | 76-80 L |
| Lakeside Lightning (W) | 84-68 W | 60-76 L |
| Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) | 82-75 W | 76-66 W |
| South West Slammers (W) | 128-79 W | 80-61 W |
| East Perth Eagles (W) | 83-96 L | 82-84 L |
| Mandurah Magic (W) | 84-96 L | 97-101 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perth Redbacks (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
90-88 | W |
| 13/06 | Lakeside Lightning (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
84-68 | W |
| 12/06 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
82-75 | W |
| 05/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
128-79 | W |
| 30/05 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
83-96 | L |
| 22/05 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
84-96 | L |
| 15/05 | Lakeside Lightning (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
60-79 | L |
| 09/05 | Goldfields Giants (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
96-102 | L |
| 02/05 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
66-79 | L |
| 25/04 | Goldfields Giants (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
93-79 | W |
Perry Lakes Hawks (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-80 | L |
| 19/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
100-93 | W |
| 13/06 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
97-101 | L |
| 06/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
80-61 | W |
| 30/05 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-66 | W |
| 23/05 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
85-97 | L |
| 22/05 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
82-84 | L |
| 15/05 | Warwick Senators (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-80 | L |
| 08/05 | Lakeside Lightning (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
60-76 | L |
| 02/05 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
79-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perth Redbacks (W) vs Perry Lakes Hawks (W)?
Our model gives 51% to Perth Redbacks (W).
How many points are expected in Perth Redbacks (W) vs Perry Lakes Hawks (W)?
The model estimates 165.4 total points (Perth Redbacks (W) 84.3 · Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 81.1).