Basketball · BNXT League · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Den Bosch vs Kangoeroes Basket

Team pages: Den Bosch · Kangoeroes Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.5Total

Den Bosch80.8

Kangoeroes Basket78.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Den Bosch Kangoeroes Basket

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Den Bosch 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWLW

Kangoeroes Basket 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

Den Bosch 3–3 Kangoeroes Basket (6 last)

Kangoeroes Basket74-78Den Bosch
Den Bosch86-75Kangoeroes Basket
Kangoeroes Basket72-69Den Bosch
Den Bosch95-84Kangoeroes Basket
Kangoeroes Basket70-53Den Bosch
Den Bosch71-74Kangoeroes Basket

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Den Bosch 1479 · Kangoeroes Basket 1440

	Den Bosch	Kangoeroes Basket
Our model	68%	32%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 159.5 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.5Den Bosch 80.8 · Kangoeroes Basket 78.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Den Bosch	Kangoeroes Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.9 / 78.3	79.5 / 87.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 74.6	91.2 / 90.8
Est. result	81	79

Est. total159.5

Line O/U167.5

Diff.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.87

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 6.5 · Est. total: 161

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.95 ★
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
12:32 +16’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:09 +49’	1.68	2.02
22:07 +41’	1.65▼	2.06▲
23:18 +29’	1.75▲	1.92▼
00:35 +14’	1.84▲	1.83▼
01:46 +5’	1.97▲	1.71▼
02:50 +57’	2.12▲	1.61▼
04:06 +40’	2.01▼	1.68▲
05:33 +13’	2.00▼	1.68
07:10 +36’	2.04▲	1.66▼
08:24 +23’	1.94▼	1.73▲
12:40 +7’	1.95▲	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Den Bosch 3–0–3 Kangoeroes Basket

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 BNXT League	Kangoeroes Basket	74-78	Den Bosch
06/01/26 BNXT League	Den Bosch	86-75	Kangoeroes Basket
18/01/25 BNXT League	Kangoeroes Basket	72-69	Den Bosch
29/11/24 BNXT League	Den Bosch	95-84	Kangoeroes Basket
08/04/23 BNXT League	Kangoeroes Basket	70-53	Den Bosch
17/03/23 BNXT League	Den Bosch	71-74	Kangoeroes Basket

Standings · BNXT League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	4	4	0	447	330
2	Brussels Basketball	4	4	0	341	260
3	Okapi Aalst	4	3	1	380	348
4	Limburg United	4	3	1	376	345
5	Leuven Bears	4	3	1	286	279
6	Spirou Charleroi	4	2	2	318	262
7	Oostende	4	2	2	319	311
8	ZZ Leiden	4	2	2	293	292
9	Den Bosch	4	2	2	304	316
10	Kangoeroes Basket	4	2	2	359	381
11	Landstede Zwolle	4	2	2	279	303
12	Donar Groningen	4	2	2	319	358
13	Rotterdam City	4	1	3	290	319
14	Kortrijk Spurs	4	0	4	334	358
15	CB Liege	4	0	4	292	371
16	Mons-Hainaut	4	0	4	257	361

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Den Bosch	Kangoeroes Basket
CB Liege	80-71 W	96-78 W
Antwerp Giants	86-125 L	75-109 L
Rotterdam City	79-50 W	97-73 W
Den Helder	64-109 L	80-87 L
Donar Groningen	81-67 W	63-99 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kangoeroes Basket (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Den Bosch

WLWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	CB Liege BNXT League	80-71	W
17/10	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	86-125	L
09/10	Rotterdam City BNXT League	79-50	W
04/10	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	59-70	L
09/05	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	107-57	W
06/05	Den Helder BNXT League	64-109	L
01/05	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	75-93	L
28/04	Donar Groningen BNXT League	81-67	W
24/04	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	72-83	L
19/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	66-58	W

Kangoeroes Basket

LLLLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	75-109	L
17/10	CB Liege BNXT League	96-78	W
10/10	Okapi Aalst BNXT League	79-94	L
02/10	Limburg United BNXT League	109-100	W
09/05	Rotterdam City BNXT League	97-73	W
06/05	Brussels Basketball BNXT League	57-56	W
02/05	Den Helder BNXT League	80-87	L
25/04	Donar Groningen BNXT League	63-99	L
19/04	Oostende BNXT League	73-83	L
17/04	Oostende BNXT League	66-94	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Den Bosch vs Kangoeroes Basket?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Den Bosch 56% · Kangoeroes Basket 44%).

How many points are expected in Den Bosch vs Kangoeroes Basket?

The model estimates 159.5 total points (Den Bosch 80.8 · Kangoeroes Basket 78.7).