Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 26/09, 04:15
Prediction: Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun
Team pages: Fuerza Regia · El Calor de Cancun
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.4Total
Fuerza Regia92.1
El Calor de Cancun81.3
1X2
Fuerza Regia
El Calor de Cancun
Recent form · 10 last
Fuerza Regia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
El Calor de Cancun
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fuerza Regia
4–2
El Calor de Cancun
(6 last)
- Fuerza Regia75-82El Calor de Cancun
- Fuerza Regia95-74El Calor de Cancun
- Fuerza Regia74-69El Calor de Cancun
- El Calor de Cancun56-70Fuerza Regia
- El Calor de Cancun59-56Fuerza Regia
- Fuerza Regia79-64El Calor de Cancun
Model analysis
Estimated points173.4Fuerza Regia 92.1 · El Calor de Cancun 81.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuerza Regia (rating 1559 vs 1433).
- Fuerza Regia is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Fuerza Regia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Fuerza Regia | El Calor de Cancun | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.7 / 83.1 | 81.9 / 88.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95.4 / 78.8 | 85.2 / 86.6 |
| Est. result | 92 | 81 |
Est. total173.4
Line O/U172.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuerza Regia 4–0–2 El Calor de Cancun
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/25 Mexico LNBP | Fuerza Regia | 75-82 | El Calor de Cancun |
| 13/07/25 Mexico LNBP | Fuerza Regia | 95-74 | El Calor de Cancun |
| 03/11/24 Mexico LNBP | Fuerza Regia | 74-69 | El Calor de Cancun |
| 01/11/24 Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun | 56-70 | Fuerza Regia |
| 31/10/24 Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun | 59-56 | Fuerza Regia |
| 27/10/24 Mexico LNBP | Fuerza Regia | 79-64 | El Calor de Cancun |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 22 | 17 | 5 | 1854 | 1631 | 39 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1929 | 1778 | 37 |
| 3 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1917 | 1872 | 34 |
| 4 | Diablos Rojos | 22 | 10 | 12 | 1846 | 1843 | 32 |
| 5 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 22 | 9 | 13 | 1730 | 1816 | 31 |
| 6 | El Calor de Cancun | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1803 | 1911 | 28 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fuerza Regia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
93-52 | W |
| 21/09 | Correcaminos Mexico LNBP |
94-83 | W |
| 17/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
87-84 | W |
| 16/09 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
100-101 | L |
| 12/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
103-74 | W |
| 11/09 | Santos San Luis Mexico LNBP |
101-89 | W |
| 31/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
75-76 | L |
| 30/08 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
95-84 | W |
| 26/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
91-90 | W |
| 25/08 | Lobos Puebla Mexico LNBP |
88-98 | L |
El Calor de Cancun
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP |
83-86 | L |
| 21/09 | Diablos Rojos Mexico LNBP |
86-73 | W |
| 17/09 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
86-97 | L |
| 16/09 | Dorados de Chihuahua Mexico LNBP |
89-91 | L |
| 12/09 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
82-86 | L |
| 11/09 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
103-88 | W |
| 31/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
86-89 | L |
| 30/08 | Soles Mexicali Mexico LNBP |
75-102 | L |
| 26/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
79-88 | L |
| 25/08 | Astros de Jalisco Mexico LNBP |
50-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun?
Our model gives 78% to Fuerza Regia.
How many points are expected in Fuerza Regia vs El Calor de Cancun?
The model estimates 173.4 total points (Fuerza Regia 92.1 · El Calor de Cancun 81.3).