Prediction: Perry Lakes Hawks (W) vs Rockingham Flames (W)
Estimated 162.2 total points (Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 77.6 · Rockingham Flames (W) 84.6).
Over its last 10 matches, Perry Lakes Hawks (W) sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Rockingham Flames (W) arrives on a 8-0-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Perry Lakes Hawks (W) won 1 and Rockingham Flames (W) 5.
| Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | Rockingham Flames (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rockingham Flames (W) (rating 1498 vs 1576).
- Rockingham Flames (W) is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Rockingham Flames (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | Rockingham Flames (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.1 / 82.6 | 90.9 / 71.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.4 / 84.6 | 88 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 78 | 85 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 1–0–5 Rockingham Flames (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Rockingham Flames (W) | 98-92 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 27/07/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Rockingham Flames (W) | 84-75 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 12/04/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 58-92 | Rockingham Flames (W) |
| 07/07/23 Australia NBL1 West Women | Rockingham Flames (W) | 84-58 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 15/07/22 Australia NBL1 West Women | Rockingham Flames (W) | 69-77 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) |
| 24/06/22 Australia NBL1 West Women | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 74-81 | Rockingham Flames (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cockburn Cougars (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1468 | 1245 | 0 |
| 2 | East Perth Eagles (W) | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1525 | 1339 | 0 |
| 3 | Rockingham Flames (W) | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1483 | 1205 | 0 |
| 4 | Warwick Senators (W) | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1454 | 1274 | 0 |
| 5 | Mandurah Magic (W) | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1364 | 1316 | 0 |
| 6 | Goldfields Giants (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1409 | 1395 | 0 |
| 7 | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1337 | 1381 | 0 |
| 8 | Joondalup Wolves (W) | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1337 | 1412 | 0 |
| 9 | Perth Redbacks (W) | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1274 | 1292 | 0 |
| 10 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1294 | 1315 | 0 |
| 11 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1279 | 1411 | 0 |
| 12 | Willetton Tigers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1210 | 1429 | 0 |
| 13 | South West Slammers (W) | 17 | 3 | 14 | 1189 | 1609 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | Rockingham Flames (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Joondalup Wolves (W) | 76-80 L | 103-58 W |
| Willetton Tigers (W) | 100-93 W | 86-70 W |
| South West Slammers (W) | 80-61 W | 122-68 W |
| Cockburn Cougars (W) | 85-97 L | 69-75 L |
| East Perth Eagles (W) | 82-84 L | 80-89 L |
| Warwick Senators (W) | 76-80 L | 99-76 W |
| Lakeside Lightning (W) | 60-76 L | 90-75 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rockingham Flames (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perry Lakes Hawks (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
89-88 | W |
| 27/06 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-80 | L |
| 19/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
100-93 | W |
| 13/06 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
97-101 | L |
| 06/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
80-61 | W |
| 30/05 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-66 | W |
| 23/05 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
85-97 | L |
| 22/05 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
82-84 | L |
| 15/05 | Warwick Senators (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-80 | L |
| 08/05 | Lakeside Lightning (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
60-76 | L |
Rockingham Flames (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
122-68 | W |
| 20/06 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
80-89 | L |
| 12/06 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
69-75 | L |
| 06/06 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
79-67 | W |
| 30/05 | Lakeside Lightning (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
90-75 | W |
| 23/05 | Warwick Senators (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
99-76 | W |
| 17/05 | Goldfields Giants (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
108-74 | W |
| 16/05 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
86-70 | W |
| 09/05 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
103-58 | W |
| 02/05 | Warwick Senators (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
73-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perry Lakes Hawks (W) vs Rockingham Flames (W)?
Our model gives 82% to Rockingham Flames (W).
How many points are expected in Perry Lakes Hawks (W) vs Rockingham Flames (W)?
The model estimates 162.2 total points (Perry Lakes Hawks (W) 77.6 · Rockingham Flames (W) 84.6).