Prediction: Vancouver Bandits vs Calgary Surge
Estimated 194 total points (Vancouver Bandits 100.8 · Calgary Surge 93.1).
Recent form leaves Vancouver Bandits with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Calgary Surge has piled up 1-0-9 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Vancouver Bandits and 4 for Calgary Surge.
| Vancouver Bandits | Calgary Surge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 80% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vancouver Bandits (rating 1511 vs 1415).
- Vancouver Bandits is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Calgary Surge: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Vancouver Bandits | Calgary Surge | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 99.2 / 96.6 | 87.1 / 96.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 95 / 97 | 91.4 / 98 |
| Est. result | 101 | 93 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Bandits 2–0–4 Calgary Surge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 111-101 | Calgary Surge |
| 16/08/25 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 103-105 | Calgary Surge |
| 26/07/25 Canada EBL | Calgary Surge | 98-96 | Vancouver Bandits |
| 22/06/25 Canada EBL | Calgary Surge | 100-83 | Vancouver Bandits |
| 02/06/25 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 80-95 | Calgary Surge |
| 09/08/24 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 89-87 | Calgary Surge |
Standings · Canada EBL · CEBL 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winnipeg Sea Bears | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1396 | 1243 | 0 |
| 2 | Vancouver Bandits | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1416 | 1341 | 0 |
| 3 | Edmonton Stingers | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1290 | 1318 | 0 |
| 4 | Saskatoon Mamba | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1447 | 1499 | 0 |
| 5 | Calgary Surge | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1236 | 1365 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Bandits | Calgary Surge |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Stingers | 93-94 L | 87-95 L |
| Winnipeg Sea Bears | 94-88 W | 88-107 L |
| Brampton Honey Badgers | 102-81 W | 102-99 W |
| Scarborough Shooting Stars | 105-108 L | 80-96 L |
| Saskatoon Mamba | 105-85 W | 92-96 L |
| Niagara River Lions | 110-100 W | 76-88 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Vancouver Bandits (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Bandits
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
93-94 | L |
| 28/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
94-88 | W |
| 21/06 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
102-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
81-114 | L |
| 16/06 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
105-108 | L |
| 14/06 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
104-95 | W |
| 07/06 | Saskatoon Mamba Canada EBL |
105-85 | W |
| 03/06 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
105-114 | L |
| 31/05 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
93-87 | W |
| 30/05 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
110-100 | W |
Calgary Surge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Saskatoon Mamba Canada EBL |
92-96 | L |
| 02/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
87-95 | L |
| 21/06 | Montreal Alliance Canada EBL |
88-93 | L |
| 18/06 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
102-99 | W |
| 15/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
88-107 | L |
| 13/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
72-92 | L |
| 11/06 | Saskatoon Mamba Canada EBL |
88-94 | L |
| 07/06 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
80-96 | L |
| 04/06 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
76-88 | L |
| 01/06 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
98-104 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Bandits vs Calgary Surge?
Our model gives 79% to Vancouver Bandits.
How many points are expected in Vancouver Bandits vs Calgary Surge?
The model estimates 194 total points (Vancouver Bandits 100.8 · Calgary Surge 93.1).