Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 12/07, 14:30
Prediction: Saigon Heat vs Danang Dragons
Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.1Total
Saigon Heat94.9
Danang Dragons76.2
1X2
Saigon Heat
Danang Dragons
Recent form · 10 last
Saigon Heat
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Danang Dragons
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saigon Heat
5–1
Danang Dragons
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saigon Heat 1555 · Danang Dragons 1350
| Saigon Heat | Danang Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 85% | 15% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
171.1 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points171.1Saigon Heat 94.9 · Danang Dragons 76.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saigon Heat (rating 1555 vs 1350).
- Saigon Heat is a clear favourite (91% market).
- H2H favours Saigon Heat: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saigon Heat | Danang Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.6 / 77.4 | 75.9 / 95.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.6 / 79.2 | 78.6 / 90.8 |
| Est. result | 95 | 76 |
Est. total171.1
Line O/U172.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saigon Heat 5–0–1 Danang Dragons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Vietnam VBA | Saigon Heat | 77-65 | Danang Dragons |
| 07/06/26 Vietnam VBA | Danang Dragons | 64-112 | Saigon Heat |
| 05/06/26 Vietnam VBA | Danang Dragons | 78-129 | Saigon Heat |
| 10/08/25 Vietnam VBA | Danang Dragons | 87-94 | Saigon Heat |
| 28/06/25 Vietnam VBA | Saigon Heat | 80-68 | Danang Dragons |
| 26/06/25 Vietnam VBA | Saigon Heat | 83-85 | Danang Dragons |
Standings · Vietnam VBA
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanoi Buffaloes | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1080 | 916 | 0 |
| 2 | Saigon Heat | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1016 | 838 | 0 |
| 3 | Ho Chi Minh City Wings | 9 | 4 | 5 | 756 | 777 | 0 |
| 4 | Nha Trang Dolphins | 10 | 4 | 6 | 871 | 903 | 0 |
| 5 | Cantho Catfish | 10 | 3 | 7 | 802 | 909 | 0 |
| 6 | Danang Dragons | 9 | 0 | 9 | 683 | 865 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saigon Heat | Danang Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Nha Trang Dolphins | 93-84 W | 76-94 L |
| Hanoi Buffaloes | 86-92 L | 69-100 L |
| Cantho Catfish | 93-73 W | 76-83 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Saigon Heat (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saigon Heat
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA |
77-65 | W |
| 05/07 | Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA |
93-84 | W |
| 03/07 | Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA |
86-71 | W |
| 21/06 | Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA |
86-92 | L |
| 19/06 | Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA |
81-84 | L |
| 07/06 | Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA |
112-64 | W |
| 05/06 | Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA |
129-78 | W |
| 31/05 | Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA |
82-85 | L |
| 29/05 | Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA |
87-78 | W |
| 24/05 | Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA |
93-73 | W |
Danang Dragons
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA |
65-77 | L |
| 27/06 | Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA |
69-100 | L |
| 25/06 | Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA |
97-100 | L |
| 13/06 | Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA |
76-83 | L |
| 11/06 | Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA |
86-94 | L |
| 07/06 | Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA |
64-112 | L |
| 05/06 | Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA |
78-129 | L |
| 30/05 | Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA |
66-75 | L |
| 28/05 | Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA |
82-95 | L |
| 24/08 | Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA |
76-94 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saigon Heat vs Danang Dragons?
Our model gives 91% to Saigon Heat.
How many points are expected in Saigon Heat vs Danang Dragons?
The model estimates 171.1 total points (Saigon Heat 94.9 · Danang Dragons 76.2).