Basketball · Australia NBL1 West Women · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Lakeside Lightning (W) vs Goldfields Giants (W)
Estimated 159.8 total points (Lakeside Lightning (W) 80 · Goldfields Giants (W) 79.8).
Over its last 10 matches, Lakeside Lightning (W) sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Goldfields Giants (W) arrives on a 5-0-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lakeside Lightning (W) won 5 and Goldfields Giants (W) 1.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lakeside Lightning (W) 1480 · Goldfields Giants (W) 1489
| Lakeside Lightning (W) | Goldfields Giants (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.8 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.8Lakeside Lightning (W) 80 · Goldfields Giants (W) 79.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Lakeside Lightning (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Lakeside Lightning (W) | Goldfields Giants (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.5 / 80.2 | 83.5 / 83.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.4 / 87 | 78.6 / 82.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 80 |
Est. total159.8
Line O/U160.5
Diff.0.7
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lakeside Lightning (W) 5–0–1 Goldfields Giants (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Goldfields Giants (W) | 69-78 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 26/04/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 87-75 | Goldfields Giants (W) |
| 25/05/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Goldfields Giants (W) | 68-98 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 06/04/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 105-47 | Goldfields Giants (W) |
| 17/06/23 Australia NBL1 West Women | Goldfields Giants (W) | 59-74 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 15/04/23 Australia NBL1 West Women | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 64-69 | Goldfields Giants (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cockburn Cougars (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1468 | 1245 | 0 |
| 2 | East Perth Eagles (W) | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1525 | 1339 | 0 |
| 3 | Rockingham Flames (W) | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1483 | 1205 | 0 |
| 4 | Warwick Senators (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1352 | 1216 | 0 |
| 5 | Mandurah Magic (W) | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1364 | 1316 | 0 |
| 6 | Goldfields Giants (W) | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1277 | 1239 | 0 |
| 7 | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1256 | 1311 | 0 |
| 8 | Perth Redbacks (W) | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1186 | 1203 | 0 |
| 9 | Joondalup Wolves (W) | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1337 | 1412 | 0 |
| 10 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1205 | 1227 | 0 |
| 11 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1204 | 1349 | 0 |
| 12 | Willetton Tigers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1210 | 1429 | 0 |
| 13 | South West Slammers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1131 | 1507 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lakeside Lightning (W) | Goldfields Giants (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Willetton Tigers (W) | 89-68 W | 95-88 W |
| Cockburn Cougars (W) | 111-116 L | 77-87 L |
| Perth Redbacks (W) | 68-84 L | 102-96 W |
| Mandurah Magic (W) | 63-93 L | 79-91 L |
| Rockingham Flames (W) | 75-90 L | 74-108 L |
| South West Slammers (W) | 64-68 L | 90-57 W |
| Joondalup Wolves (W) | 59-89 L | 87-65 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Goldfields Giants (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lakeside Lightning (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
89-68 | W |
| 19/06 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
111-116 | L |
| 13/06 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
68-84 | L |
| 12/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
81-74 | W |
| 06/06 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
63-93 | L |
| 30/05 | Rockingham Flames (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
75-90 | L |
| 23/05 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
64-68 | L |
| 15/05 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
79-60 | W |
| 08/05 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-60 | W |
| 01/05 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
59-89 | L |
Goldfields Giants (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | East Perth Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
80-100 | L |
| 21/06 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
79-91 | L |
| 20/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
90-57 | W |
| 13/06 | Warwick Senators (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
67-78 | L |
| 06/06 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
77-87 | L |
| 31/05 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
95-88 | W |
| 23/05 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
84-64 | W |
| 17/05 | Rockingham Flames (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
74-108 | L |
| 16/05 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
87-65 | W |
| 09/05 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
102-96 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lakeside Lightning (W) vs Goldfields Giants (W)?
Our model gives 50% to Lakeside Lightning (W).
How many points are expected in Lakeside Lightning (W) vs Goldfields Giants (W)?
The model estimates 159.8 total points (Lakeside Lightning (W) 80 · Goldfields Giants (W) 79.8).