Prediction: East Perth Eagles (W) vs Lakeside Lightning (W)
Estimated 161.8 total points (East Perth Eagles (W) 85.4 · Lakeside Lightning (W) 76.4).
Over its last 10 matches, East Perth Eagles (W) sits at 7-0-3 (W-D-L), while Lakeside Lightning (W) arrives on a 5-0-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for East Perth Eagles (W) and 5 for Lakeside Lightning (W).
| East Perth Eagles (W) | Lakeside Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Perth Eagles (W) (rating 1559 vs 1507).
- East Perth Eagles (W) is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Lakeside Lightning (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| East Perth Eagles (W) | Lakeside Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.9 / 78.8 | 78.7 / 78.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91 / 74.4 | 86 / 82.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 76 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Perth Eagles (W) 1–0–5 Lakeside Lightning (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | East Perth Eagles (W) | 79-87 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 28/06/25 Australia NBL1 West Women | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 64-80 | East Perth Eagles (W) |
| 21/06/24 Australia NBL1 West Women | East Perth Eagles (W) | 74-80 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 02/06/23 Australia NBL1 West Women | East Perth Eagles (W) | 77-83 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
| 08/07/22 Australia NBL1 West Women | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 76-71 | East Perth Eagles (W) |
| 13/05/22 Australia NBL1 West Women | East Perth Eagles (W) | 71-81 | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 West Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cockburn Cougars (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1468 | 1245 | 0 |
| 2 | East Perth Eagles (W) | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1525 | 1339 | 0 |
| 3 | Rockingham Flames (W) | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1483 | 1205 | 0 |
| 4 | Warwick Senators (W) | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1454 | 1274 | 0 |
| 5 | Mandurah Magic (W) | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1364 | 1316 | 0 |
| 6 | Goldfields Giants (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1409 | 1395 | 0 |
| 7 | Lakeside Lightning (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1337 | 1381 | 0 |
| 8 | Joondalup Wolves (W) | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1337 | 1412 | 0 |
| 9 | Perth Redbacks (W) | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1274 | 1292 | 0 |
| 10 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1294 | 1315 | 0 |
| 11 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1279 | 1411 | 0 |
| 12 | Willetton Tigers (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1210 | 1429 | 0 |
| 13 | South West Slammers (W) | 17 | 3 | 14 | 1189 | 1609 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Perth Eagles (W) | Lakeside Lightning (W) |
|---|---|---|
| South West Slammers (W) | 89-76 W | 64-68 L |
| Goldfields Giants (W) | 100-80 W | 81-70 W |
| Rockingham Flames (W) | 89-80 W | 75-90 L |
| Perth Redbacks (W) | 96-83 W | 68-84 L |
| Perry Lakes Hawks (W) | 84-82 W | 76-60 W |
| Cockburn Cougars (W) | 81-91 L | 111-116 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: East Perth Eagles (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Perth Eagles (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
89-76 | W |
| 27/06 | Goldfields Giants (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
100-80 | W |
| 20/06 | Rockingham Flames (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
89-80 | W |
| 13/06 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
110-57 | W |
| 06/06 | Rockingham Flames (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
67-79 | L |
| 05/06 | Kalamunda Eastern Suns (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
80-82 | L |
| 30/05 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
96-83 | W |
| 23/05 | Joondalup Wolves (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
93-78 | W |
| 22/05 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
84-82 | W |
| 15/05 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
81-91 | L |
Lakeside Lightning (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Goldfields Giants (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
81-70 | W |
| 26/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
89-68 | W |
| 19/06 | Cockburn Cougars (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
111-116 | L |
| 13/06 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
68-84 | L |
| 12/06 | Willetton Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
81-74 | W |
| 06/06 | Mandurah Magic (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
63-93 | L |
| 30/05 | Rockingham Flames (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
75-90 | L |
| 23/05 | South West Slammers (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
64-68 | L |
| 15/05 | Perth Redbacks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
79-60 | W |
| 08/05 | Perry Lakes Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 West Women |
76-60 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Perth Eagles (W) vs Lakeside Lightning (W)?
Our model gives 84% to East Perth Eagles (W).
How many points are expected in East Perth Eagles (W) vs Lakeside Lightning (W)?
The model estimates 161.8 total points (East Perth Eagles (W) 85.4 · Lakeside Lightning (W) 76.4).