Fútbol · England National League North · 15/8, 16:00
Pronóstico: Southport vs Buxton
Fichas de equipo: Southport · Buxton
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
2,92Total
Southport1,38
Buxton1,54
1X2
Southport
Empate
Buxton
Mercados
Más de 2,5 goles 56%
Ambos marcan 56%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Southport
3-2-5 (V-E-D)
Buxton
7-1-2 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Southport
3–2–1
Buxton
(6 últimos)
- Southport0-0Buxton
- Buxton2-3Southport
- Buxton1-2Southport
- Buxton2-1Southport
- Southport3-2Buxton
- Southport2-2Buxton
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Southport 1506 · Buxton 1540
| Southport | Empate | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Mercado | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.92 goles · línea Bet365 3
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 62%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Historial directo a favor de Southport: 3-2-1.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Southport | Buxton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/30/40% | 56/22/22% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Southport 3–2–1 Buxton
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England National League North | Southport | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Buxton |
| 15/11/25 England FA Trophy | Buxton | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Southport |
| 04/11/25 England National League North | Buxton | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Southport |
| 01/02/25 England National League North | Buxton | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Southport |
| 31/08/24 England National League North | Southport | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Buxton |
| 23/03/24 England National League North | Southport | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Buxton |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Southport
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/7 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | E |
| 25/7 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | V |
| 24/7 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | V |
| 18/7 | Fleetwood Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/7 | Atherton Collieries Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | E |
| 25/4 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | V |
| 21/4 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/4 | AFC Fylde England National League North |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/4 | Leamington England National League North |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
Buxton
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Hereford FC England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | V |
| 21/7 | Scunthorpe UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | V |
| 10/7 | Ashton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 7/7 | Braga Club Friendly List |
– | 1-3 | – | – | D |
| 2/5 | South Shields England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 28/4 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | V |
| 25/4 | Leamington England National League North |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | V |
| 18/4 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | V |
| 14/4 | Alfreton Town England National League North |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | E |
| 11/4 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Southport vs Buxton?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Buxton (40%). Probabilidades: Southport 33%, empate 27%, Buxton 40%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Southport vs Buxton?
El modelo espera 2,92 goles (Southport 1,38 · Buxton 1,54), con un 55% a menos de 3 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Southport vs Buxton?
El modelo da un 56% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.