Fútbol · England National League North · 22/8, 16:00
Pronóstico: South Shields vs Merthyr Town
Fichas de equipo: South Shields · Merthyr Town
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,15Total
South Shields2,1
Merthyr Town1,05
1X2
South Shields
Empate
Merthyr Town
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 61%
Ambos marcan 55%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
South Shields
6-1-3 (V-E-D)
Merthyr Town
3-3-4 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
South Shields
1–1
Merthyr Town
(2 últimos)
- South Shields4-1Merthyr Town
- Merthyr Town3-1South Shields
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · South Shields 1550 · Merthyr Town 1481
| South Shields | Empate | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Mercado | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.15 goles · línea Bet365 3.25
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 59%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a South Shields (rating 1550 vs 1481).
- Muchos córners: 12.2 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5.7 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| South Shields | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 8 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · South Shields 1–0–1 Merthyr Town
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England National League North | South Shields | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Merthyr Town |
| 11/11/25 England National League North | Merthyr Town | 3-1 HT 2-1 | South Shields |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Shields | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Oxford City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Hereford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Worksop | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Kings Lynn Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Chorley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Bedford Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Darlington 1883 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | AFC Telford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Hednesford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 23 | Marine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
South Shields
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/8 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | V |
| 15/8 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 2 | V |
| 8/8 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | V |
| 1/8 | Dag & Red Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | V |
| 28/7 | Gateshead UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 21/7 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 9/5 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 2/5 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 25/4 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/4 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 24 | 2 | E |
Merthyr Town
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/8 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | E |
| 15/8 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 8/8 | Hednesford England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 1/8 | Worcester City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/7 | Bristol City U21 Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | E |
| 21/7 | Briton Ferry UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | V |
| 18/7 | Forest Green UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/7 | Yeovil UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | E |
| 10/7 | Cambrian United UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 0 | V |
| 25/4 | AFC Fylde England National League North |
1-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en South Shields vs Merthyr Town?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de South Shields (61%). Probabilidades: South Shields 61%, empate 22%, Merthyr Town 17%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en South Shields vs Merthyr Town?
El modelo espera 3,15 goles (South Shields 2,1 · Merthyr Town 1,05), con un 52% a menos de 3,25 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en South Shields vs Merthyr Town?
El modelo da un 55% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.