Fútbol · England National League North · 15/8, 16:00
Pronóstico: South Shields vs Chorley
Fichas de equipo: South Shields · Chorley
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
2,75Total
South Shields1,78
Chorley0,97
1X2
South Shields
Empate
Chorley
Mercados
Más de 2,5 goles 52%
Ambos marcan 53%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
South Shields
6-1-3 (V-E-D)
Chorley
2-2-6 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
South Shields
3–2–1
Chorley
(6 últimos)
- Chorley1-1South Shields
- South Shields2-0Chorley
- South Shields4-1Chorley
- Chorley2-1South Shields
- South Shields3-3Chorley
- South Shields2-1Chorley
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · South Shields 1552 · Chorley 1435
| South Shields | Empate | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 55% | 25% | 19% |
| Mercado | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.75 goles · línea Bet365 2.75
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 56%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a South Shields (rating 1552 vs 1435).
- Historial directo a favor de South Shields: 3-2-1.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.7 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| South Shields | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · South Shields 3–2–1 Chorley
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England National League North | Chorley | 1-1 HT 1-1 | South Shields |
| 04/10/25 England National League North | South Shields | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chorley |
| 27/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | South Shields | 4-1 | Chorley |
| 15/02/25 England National League North | Chorley | 2-1 HT 1-0 | South Shields |
| 21/09/24 England National League North | South Shields | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Chorley |
| 12/03/24 England National League North | South Shields | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chorley |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
South Shields
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | V |
| 1/8 | Dag & Red Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | V |
| 28/7 | Gateshead UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 21/7 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 9/5 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 2/5 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 25/4 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/4 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 24 | 2 | E |
| 14/4 | Macclesfield England National League North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 11/4 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | V |
Chorley
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 25/7 | Accrington Stanley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 21/7 | Altrincham UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | E |
| 11/7 | Bury Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | D |
| 4/7 | Bamber Bridge Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/6 | Longridge Town FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | V |
| 25/4 | Worksop England National League North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | V |
| 18/4 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | E |
| 11/4 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 6/4 | Marine England National League North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en South Shields vs Chorley?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de South Shields (56%). Probabilidades: South Shields 56%, empate 25%, Chorley 20%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en South Shields vs Chorley?
El modelo espera 2,75 goles (South Shields 1,78 · Chorley 0,97), con un 52% a menos de 2,75 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en South Shields vs Chorley?
El modelo da un 53% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.