Fútbol · England National League North · 31/8, 16:00
Pronóstico: Southport vs Hereford FC
Fichas de equipo: Southport · Hereford FC
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,14Total
Southport1,6
Hereford FC1,55
1X2
Southport
Empate
Hereford FC
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 62%
Ambos marcan 57%
Marcador más probable
1-1 12%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Southport
3-2-5 (V-E-D)
Hereford FC
5-3-2 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Southport
3–1–2
Hereford FC
(6 últimos)
- Southport5-1Hereford FC
- Hereford FC1-2Southport
- Hereford FC1-1Southport
- Southport1-4Hereford FC
- Southport1-2Hereford FC
- Hereford FC0-1Southport
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Southport 1507 · Hereford FC 1532
| Southport | Empate | Hereford FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Mercado | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.14 goles · línea Bet365 2.75 · +0.4
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 65%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Historial directo a favor de Southport: 3-1-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 8.2 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Southport | Hereford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.6 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/10/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 4 / 5.7 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Southport 3–1–2 Hereford FC
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England National League North | Southport | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Hereford FC |
| 08/11/25 England National League North | Hereford FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Southport |
| 18/01/25 England National League North | Hereford FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Southport |
| 24/08/24 England National League North | Southport | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Hereford FC |
| 24/02/24 England National League North | Southport | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hereford FC |
| 02/09/23 England National League North | Hereford FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Southport |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Chester | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Hereford FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Scarborough Athletic | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Harborough Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Chorley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Buxton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Marine | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Bedford Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Worksop | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | Hednesford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Southport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 18 | Brackley | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Morecambe | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Kings Lynn Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 21 | Spennymoor Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| 24 | AFC Telford | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Rivales en común 2 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Southport | Hereford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Bedford Town | 4-1 V | 2-2 E |
| Buxton | 1-1 E | 1-2 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 1 E 0 D | 0 V 1 E 1 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Southport (2 de 2 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Southport
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/8 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/8 | Bedford Town England National League North |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 18/8 | Hednesford England National League North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | E |
| 15/8 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | E |
| 8/8 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/4 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | V |
| 21/4 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/4 | AFC Fylde England National League North |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/4 | Leamington England National League North |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 6/4 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | V |
Hereford FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/8 | Chester England National League North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | E |
| 22/8 | Worksop England National League North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | V |
| 18/8 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 15/8 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | V |
| 8/8 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 25/4 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | E |
| 21/4 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | V |
| 18/4 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 11 | V |
| 14/4 | Oxford City England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 11/4 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | E |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Southport vs Hereford FC?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Southport (38%). Probabilidades: Southport 38%, empate 26%, Hereford FC 36%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Southport vs Hereford FC?
El modelo espera 3,14 goles (Southport 1,6 · Hereford FC 1,55), con un 53% a más de 2,75 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Southport vs Hereford FC?
El modelo da un 57% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.