Fútbol · New Zealand Northern League · 8/8, 05:00
Pronóstico: Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United
Fichas de equipo: Eastern Suburbs Auckland · Fencibles United
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
2,76Total
Eastern Suburbs Auckland1,83
Fencibles United0,93
1X2
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
Empate
Fencibles United
Mercados
Más de 2,5 goles 52%
Ambos marcan 53%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
5-3-2 (V-E-D)
Fencibles United
9-0-1 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
4–0
Fencibles United
(4 últimos)
- Fencibles United0-1Eastern Suburbs Auckland
- Fencibles United0-2Eastern Suburbs Auckland
- Eastern Suburbs Auckland3-1Fencibles United
- Fencibles United1-3Eastern Suburbs Auckland
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs Auckland 1552 · Fencibles United 1595
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Empate | Fencibles United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Mercado | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.76 goles · línea Bet365 3 · -0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 56%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Fencibles United (rating 1552 vs 1595).
- Historial directo a favor de Eastern Suburbs Auckland: 4-0-0.
- Muchos córners: 12.7 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Fencibles United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 1.4 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/70/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 8.8 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs Auckland 4–0–0 Fencibles United
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 New Zealand Northern League | Fencibles United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland |
| 26/07/25 New Zealand Cup | Fencibles United | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland |
| 31/05/25 New Zealand Northern League | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fencibles United |
| 29/03/25 New Zealand Northern League | Fencibles United | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland |
Clasificación · New Zealand Northern League · Northern League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 10 | 50 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | East Coast Bays | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 34 |
| 6 | Auckland United FC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 32 |
| 7 | Auckland FC II | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 21 |
| 8 | Western Springs AFC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 |
| 9 | Bay Olympic | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 46 | 15 |
| 10 | Melville United | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 42 | 14 |
| 11 | Tauranga City AFC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 12 |
| 12 | Manukau United | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 4 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Fencibles United |
|---|---|---|
| Tauranga City AFC | 1-0 V | 7-1 V |
| Manukau United | 7-0 V | 2-1 V |
| Birkenhead United | 1-1 E | 3-1 V |
| Melville United | 4-0 V | 3-2 V |
| Auckland City | 0-0 E | 0-3 D |
| Auckland FC II | 1-0 V | 2-1 V |
| East Coast Bays | 0-1 D | 3-2 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 4 V 2 E 1 D | 6 V 0 E 1 D |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | V |
| 18/7 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
4-0 | 7-0 | 17 | 1 | V |
| 11/7 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | V |
| 27/6 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | E |
| 20/6 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 6/6 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | V |
| 1/6 | Melville United New Zealand Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | E |
| 30/5 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | E |
| 22/5 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | V |
| 16/5 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Fencibles United
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/7 | Auckland City New Zealand Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 18/7 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | V |
| 11/7 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 4/7 | South Auckland Rangers AFC New Zealand Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | V |
| 27/6 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 20/6 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | V |
| 13/6 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | V |
| 6/6 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 8 | 4 | V |
| 29/5 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Eastern Suburbs Auckland (58%). Probabilidades: Eastern Suburbs Auckland 58%, empate 23%, Fencibles United 19%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United?
El modelo espera 2,76 goles (Eastern Suburbs Auckland 1,83 · Fencibles United 0,93), con un 54% a menos de 3 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United?
El modelo da un 53% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.