Fútbol · New Zealand Northern League · 8/8, 07:30
Pronóstico: Western Springs AFC vs Melville United
Fichas de equipo: Western Springs AFC · Melville United
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,16Total
Western Springs AFC2,1
Melville United1,06
1X2
Western Springs AFC
Empate
Melville United
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 61%
Ambos marcan 55%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Western Springs AFC
3-2-5 (V-E-D)
Melville United
1-2-7 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Western Springs AFC
3–1–2
Melville United
(6 últimos)
- Melville United1-3Western Springs AFC
- Western Springs AFC2-1Melville United
- Melville United1-4Western Springs AFC
- Western Springs AFC3-3Melville United
- Melville United1-0Western Springs AFC
- Melville United2-1Western Springs AFC
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Western Springs AFC 1481 · Melville United 1436
| Western Springs AFC | Empate | Melville United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 60% | 22% | 17% |
| Mercado | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.16 goles · línea Bet365 3.25
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 62%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Western Springs AFC (rating 1481 vs 1436).
- Historial directo a favor de Western Springs AFC: 3-1-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6.8 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Western Springs AFC | Melville United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 2.1 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Western Springs AFC 3–1–2 Melville United
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 New Zealand Northern League | Melville United | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Western Springs AFC |
| 03/08/24 New Zealand Northern League | Western Springs AFC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Melville United |
| 11/05/24 New Zealand Northern League | Melville United | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Western Springs AFC |
| 02/09/23 New Zealand Northern League | Western Springs AFC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Melville United |
| 29/07/23 New Zealand Cup | Melville United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Western Springs AFC |
| 27/05/23 New Zealand Northern League | Melville United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Western Springs AFC |
Clasificación · New Zealand Northern League · Northern League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 10 | 50 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | East Coast Bays | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 34 |
| 6 | Auckland United FC | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 32 |
| 7 | Auckland FC II | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 21 |
| 8 | Western Springs AFC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 |
| 9 | Bay Olympic | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 46 | 15 |
| 10 | Melville United | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 42 | 14 |
| 11 | Tauranga City AFC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 12 |
| 12 | Manukau United | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 4 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Western Springs AFC | Melville United |
|---|---|---|
| Birkenhead United | 1-2 D | 1-4 D |
| Auckland United FC | 0-0 E | 0-3 D |
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 0-1 D | 0-4 D |
| Auckland City | 0-3 D | 0-4 D |
| East Coast Bays | 2-2 E | 2-0 V |
| Bay Olympic | 3-0 V | 1-1 E |
| Fencibles United | 0-6 D | 2-3 D |
| Tauranga City AFC | 2-4 D | 0-1 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 2 E 5 D | 1 V 1 E 6 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Western Springs AFC (5 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Western Springs AFC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/7 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | E |
| 11/7 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/6 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/6 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | V |
| 6/6 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | E |
| 29/5 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | V |
| 23/5 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/5 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 9/5 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 2 | V |
Melville United
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | V |
| 18/7 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/7 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | E |
| 4/7 | Hibiscus Coast New Zealand Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 27/6 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/6 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 6/6 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 1/6 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | E |
| 28/5 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 23/5 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Western Springs AFC vs Melville United?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Western Springs AFC (61%). Probabilidades: Western Springs AFC 61%, empate 22%, Melville United 18%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Western Springs AFC vs Melville United?
El modelo espera 3,16 goles (Western Springs AFC 2,1 · Melville United 1,06), con un 52% a menos de 3,25 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Western Springs AFC vs Melville United?
El modelo da un 55% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.