Fútbol · Republic of Ireland First Division · 27/10, 20:45
Pronóstico: UCD vs Longford Town
Fichas de equipo: UCD · Longford Town
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,03Total
UCD1,78
Longford Town1,25
1X2
UCD
Empate
Longford Town
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 64%
Ambos marcan 56%
Marcador más probable
1-1 12%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
UCD
4-4-2 (V-E-D)
Longford Town
4-3-3 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
UCD
3–2–1
Longford Town
(6 últimos)
- Longford Town0-2UCD
- UCD1-1Longford Town
- Longford Town2-1UCD
- UCD2-0Longford Town
- Longford Town0-0UCD
- UCD2-1Longford Town
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · UCD 1538 · Longford Town 1501
| UCD | Empate | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Mercado | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.03 goles · línea Bet365 3
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 62%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Historial directo a favor de UCD: 3-2-1.
- Partido de tarjetas: 8.9 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| UCD | Longford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 50/20/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 3.8 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · UCD 3–2–1 Longford Town
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-2 HT 0-1 | UCD |
| 09/10/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 04/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 2-1 HT 0-1 | UCD |
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
| 07/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UCD |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | UCD | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
Clasificación · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 67 | 51 | 56 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 67 | 53 | 54 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 52 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 58 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 70 | 28 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | UCD | Longford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wexford FC | 5-2 V | 3-3 E |
| Treaty United FC | 4-0 V | 0-2 D |
| Bray Wanderers | 1-3 D | 4-2 V |
| Cork City | 1-5 D | 2-1 V |
| Athlone Town | 2-2 E | 1-0 V |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-1 E | 2-2 E |
| Finn Harps | 5-4 V | 1-0 V |
| Kerry FC | 1-1 E | 0-1 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 3 E 2 D | 4 V 2 E 2 D |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
UCD
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | V |
| 16/10 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 5 | V |
| 9/10 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | E |
| 2/10 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | V |
| 25/9 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/9 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/9 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | E |
| 4/9 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | E |
| 28/8 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 5-4 | 8 | 5 | V |
| 21/8 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | E |
Longford Town
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/10 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | V |
| 9/10 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | E |
| 2/10 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | E |
| 26/9 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | V |
| 18/9 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | V |
| 12/9 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 5/9 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/8 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | E |
| 22/8 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en UCD vs Longford Town?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de UCD (49%). Probabilidades: UCD 49%, empate 25%, Longford Town 26%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en UCD vs Longford Town?
El modelo espera 3,03 goles (UCD 1,78 · Longford Town 1,25), con un 52% a menos de 3 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en UCD vs Longford Town?
El modelo da un 56% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.