Fútbol · New Zealand Football Championship · 14/11, 02:00
Pronóstico: Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Auckland City
Fichas de equipo: Wellington Phoenix Reserves · Auckland City
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,6Total
Wellington Phoenix Reserves0,86
Auckland City2,75
1X2
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Empate
Auckland City
Mercados
Más de 3,5 goles 50%
Ambos marcan 54%
Marcador más probable
0-2 10%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
3-1-6 (V-E-D)
Auckland City
6-4-0 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
1–1–4
Auckland City
(6 últimos)
- Auckland City2-0Wellington Phoenix Reserves
- Auckland City3-4Wellington Phoenix Reserves
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves0-1Auckland City
- Auckland City2-0Wellington Phoenix Reserves
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves1-1Auckland City
- Auckland City4-1Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1427 · Auckland City 1615
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | Empate | Auckland City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 8% | 15% | 76% |
| Mercado | 9% | 14% | 77% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.6 goles · línea Bet365 3.5
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 67%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Auckland City (rating 1427 vs 1615).
- Historial directo a favor de Auckland City: 4-1-1.
- Muchos córners: 10.8 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.2 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | Auckland City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 3.4 / 7 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–1–4 Auckland City
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 New Zealand Football Championship | Auckland City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
| 10/11/24 New Zealand Football Championship | Auckland City | 3-4 HT 0-3 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
| 23/09/23 New Zealand Football Championship | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Auckland City |
| 05/11/22 New Zealand Football Championship | Auckland City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
| 20/02/21 New Zealand Football Championship | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Auckland City |
| 19/12/20 New Zealand Football Championship | Auckland City | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
Clasificación · New Zealand Football Championship · Northern League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 58 | 13 | 58 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | Auckland City | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Auckland United FC | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 21 | 41 |
| 5 | Fencibles United | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | East Coast Bays | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 35 | 35 |
| 7 | Auckland FC II | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 27 |
| 8 | Western Springs AFC | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 40 | 24 |
| 9 | Melville United | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 48 | 20 |
| 10 | Bay Olympic | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 56 | 16 |
| 11 | Tauranga City AFC | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 52 | 15 |
| 12 | Manukau United | 22 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 78 | 7 |
Rivales en común 4 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Birkenhead United | 0-1 D | 2-2 E |
| Cashmere Technical | 0-10 D | 1-1 E |
| Auckland United FC | 1-1 E | 3-0 V |
| Coastal Spirit | 1-0 V | 3-0 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 1 E 2 D | 2 V 2 E 0 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Auckland City (4 de 4 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Football Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/10 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Football Championship |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 25/10 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 4/10 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Football Championship |
0-6 | 0-10 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/9 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Football Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | E |
| 7/12 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Football Championship |
2-1 | 7-2 | 10 | 1 | V |
| 29/11 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Football Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 22/11 | Auckland City New Zealand Football Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/11 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | V |
Auckland City
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Football Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | E |
| 1/11 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | E |
| 24/10 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Football Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | V |
| 17/10 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Football Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | V |
| 10/10 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Football Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | E |
| 4/10 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Football Championship |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | V |
| 13/12 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 8 | E |
| 6/12 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Football Championship |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | V |
| 30/11 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Football Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | V |
| 22/11 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Football Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Auckland City?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Auckland City (77%). Probabilidades: Wellington Phoenix Reserves 9%, empate 15%, Auckland City 77%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Auckland City?
El modelo espera 3,6 goles (Wellington Phoenix Reserves 0,86 · Auckland City 2,75), con un 50% a más de 3,5 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Auckland City?
El modelo da un 54% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 0-2.