Fútbol · England Northern Premier League · 7/11, 16:00
Pronóstico: Workington vs Ashton Utd
Fichas de equipo: Workington · Ashton Utd
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,2Total
Workington1,76
Ashton Utd1,44
1X2
Workington
Empate
Ashton Utd
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 60%
Ambos marcan 57%
Marcador más probable
1-1 11%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Workington
6-2-2 (V-E-D)
Ashton Utd
0-3-7 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Workington
2–2–2
Ashton Utd
(6 últimos)
- Ashton Utd2-1Workington
- Workington1-1Ashton Utd
- Workington5-1Ashton Utd
- Ashton Utd3-0Workington
- Ashton Utd2-2Workington
- Workington5-0Ashton Utd
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Workington 1552 · Ashton Utd 1448
| Workington | Empate | Ashton Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Mercado | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.2 goles · línea Bet365 3 · +0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 59%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Workington (rating 1552 vs 1448).
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.2 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Workington | Ashton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 14/43/43% | 11/33/56% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Workington 2–2–2 Ashton Utd
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Workington |
| 23/08/25 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 1-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 26/04/25 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Ashton Utd |
| 24/08/24 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Workington |
| 16/12/23 England Northern Premier League | Ashton Utd | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Workington |
| 12/08/23 England Northern Premier League | Workington | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Ashton Utd |
Clasificación · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 9 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 30 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 27 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 13 | Emley AFC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 20 |
| 14 | Whitby | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 42 | 19 |
| 15 | Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 32 | 18 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde Utd | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton Utd | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 37 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 13 |
| 21 | FC United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 37 | 11 |
Rivales en común 4 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Workington | Ashton Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 0-3 D | 2-2 E |
| Warrington Town | 2-2 E | 0-1 D |
| Cleethorpes Town | 1-1 E | 0-1 D |
| Leek Town | 3-2 V | 2-2 E |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 2 E 1 D | 0 V 2 E 2 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Workington (3 de 4 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Workington
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bury England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 17/10 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | V |
| 13/10 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 6/10 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | E |
| 3/10 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | E |
| 29/9 | Emley AFC England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | V |
| 12/9 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | V |
| 31/8 | Lancaster City England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | V |
| 29/8 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | V |
Ashton Utd
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/11 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/10 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/10 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | E |
| 10/10 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | E |
| 6/10 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | E |
| 12/9 | Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/8 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/8 | Gainsborough England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Workington vs Ashton Utd?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Workington (44%). Probabilidades: Workington 44%, empate 25%, Ashton Utd 31%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Workington vs Ashton Utd?
El modelo espera 3,2 goles (Workington 1,76 · Ashton Utd 1,44), con un 52% a más de 3 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Workington vs Ashton Utd?
El modelo da un 57% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.