Fútbol · England National League North · 17/10, 16:00
Pronóstico: Southport vs Radcliffe FC
Fichas de equipo: Southport · Radcliffe FC
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
2,98Total
Southport1,65
Radcliffe FC1,33
1X2
Southport
Empate
Radcliffe FC
Mercados
Más de 2,5 goles 57%
Ambos marcan 56%
Marcador más probable
1-1 12%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Southport
2-3-5 (V-E-D)
Radcliffe FC
3-0-7 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Southport
3–2–1
Radcliffe FC
(6 últimos)
- Radcliffe FC1-2Southport
- Southport2-0Radcliffe FC
- Southport3-2Radcliffe FC
- Radcliffe FC1-1Southport
- Radcliffe FC4-1Southport
- Southport2-2Radcliffe FC
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Southport 1469 · Radcliffe FC 1427
| Southport | Empate | Radcliffe FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Mercado | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.98 goles · línea Bet365 2.75 · +0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 59%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Southport (rating 1469 vs 1427).
- Historial directo a favor de Southport: 3-2-1.
- Partido de tarjetas: 8.3 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Southport | Radcliffe FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Southport 3–2–1 Radcliffe FC
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 England National League North | Radcliffe FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Southport |
| 25/11/25 England National League North | Southport | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Radcliffe FC |
| 16/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Southport | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Radcliffe FC |
| 13/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Radcliffe FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Southport |
| 08/02/25 England National League North | Radcliffe FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Southport |
| 07/09/24 England National League North | Southport | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Radcliffe FC |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Kings Lynn Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 20 | Radcliffe FC | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Rivales en común 5 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Southport | Radcliffe FC |
|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 2-1 V | 2-1 V |
| Hereford FC | 0-1 D | 0-3 D |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1-5 D | 4-1 V |
| Bedford Town | 4-1 V | 0-1 D |
| Hednesford | 2-2 E | 1-4 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 2 V 1 E 2 D | 2 V 0 E 3 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Southport (3 de 5 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Southport
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Harborough Town England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/9 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | E |
| 12/9 | Worksop England National League North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 8/9 | Morecambe England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 5/9 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/8 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 29/8 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/8 | Bedford Town England National League North |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 18/8 | Hednesford England National League North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | E |
| 15/8 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | E |
Radcliffe FC
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | V |
| 26/9 | Hednesford England National League North |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/9 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 8/9 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
3-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 4 | V |
| 5/9 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/8 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 29/8 | Marine England National League North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/8 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | V |
| 18/8 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/8 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Southport vs Radcliffe FC?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Southport (44%). Probabilidades: Southport 44%, empate 26%, Radcliffe FC 30%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Southport vs Radcliffe FC?
El modelo espera 2,98 goles (Southport 1,65 · Radcliffe FC 1,33), con un 52% a más de 2,75 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Southport vs Radcliffe FC?
El modelo da un 56% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.