Fútbol · England National League North · 5/9, 16:00
Pronóstico: Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield
Fichas de equipo: Merthyr Town · Macclesfield
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,03Total
Merthyr Town1,27
Macclesfield1,77
1X2
Merthyr Town
Empate
Macclesfield
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 64%
Ambos marcan 56%
Marcador más probable
1-1 12%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Merthyr Town
2-3-5 (V-E-D)
Macclesfield
7-1-2 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Merthyr Town
1–1
Macclesfield
(2 últimos)
- Merthyr Town1-2Macclesfield
- Macclesfield1-3Merthyr Town
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Merthyr Town 1470 · Macclesfield 1586
| Merthyr Town | Empate | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Mercado | 27% | 24% | 49% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.03 goles · línea Bet365 3
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 54%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Macclesfield (rating 1470 vs 1586).
- Muchos córners: 10.6 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.5 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Merthyr Town | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.5 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Merthyr Town 1–0–1 Macclesfield
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England National League North | Merthyr Town | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Macclesfield |
| 02/09/25 England National League North | Macclesfield | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Merthyr Town |
Clasificación · England National League North
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Hereford FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Chester | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Harborough Town | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | South Shields | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Buxton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Scarborough Athletic | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Chorley | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Morecambe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Kings Lynn Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Marine | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | Hednesford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Darlington 1883 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 19 | Worksop | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 20 | Brackley | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 21 | Southport | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 22 | Spennymoor Town | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 5 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 24 | AFC Telford | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Merthyr Town
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/8 | Buxton England National League North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/8 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | E |
| 22/8 | South Shields England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | E |
| 18/8 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | E |
| 15/8 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 8/8 | Hednesford England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 25/4 | AFC Fylde England National League North |
1-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/4 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 14/4 | Marine England National League North |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | V |
| 11/4 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 8 | D |
Macclesfield
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/8 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 29/8 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | V |
| 22/8 | Brackley England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | V |
| 18/8 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | E |
| 15/8 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | V |
| 8/8 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | V |
| 2/5 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 29/4 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | V |
| 25/4 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/4 | Southport England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Macclesfield (49%). Probabilidades: Merthyr Town 27%, empate 25%, Macclesfield 49%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield?
El modelo espera 3,03 goles (Merthyr Town 1,27 · Macclesfield 1,77), con un 52% a menos de 3 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield?
El modelo da un 56% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.