Fútbol · England National League · 15/8, 16:00
Pronóstico: Southend vs Scunthorpe
Fichas de equipo: Southend · Scunthorpe
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
2,63Total
Southend1,59
Scunthorpe1,04
1X2
Southend
Empate
Scunthorpe
Mercados
Menos de 2,5 goles 51%
Ambos marcan 53%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Southend
3-3-4 (V-E-D)
Scunthorpe
4-2-4 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Southend
2–1–3
Scunthorpe
(6 últimos)
- Scunthorpe1-0Southend
- Scunthorpe1-0Southend
- Southend0-2Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-3Southend
- Southend3-0Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-1Southend
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Southend 1487 · Scunthorpe 1527
| Southend | Empate | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Mercado | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
2.63 goles · línea Bet365 2.75
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 53%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Scunthorpe (rating 1487 vs 1527).
- Historial directo a favor de Scunthorpe: 3-1-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5.3 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Southend | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 22/56/22% | 33/22/44% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Southend 2–1–3 Scunthorpe
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Southend |
| 07/02/26 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Southend |
| 27/09/25 England National League | Southend | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 22/04/23 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Southend |
| 22/10/22 England National League | Southend | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 20/03/21 England League 2 | Scunthorpe | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Southend |
Clasificación · England National League
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Southend
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | V |
| 1/8 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 25/7 | Leyton Orient UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | E |
| 22/7 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/7 | West Ham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | E |
| 14/7 | Cambridge Utd Club Friendly List |
– | 1-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/5 | Wealdstone England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | E |
| 28/4 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/4 | Wealdstone England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | V |
| 21/4 | Hartlepool England National League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | D |
Scunthorpe
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | E |
| 28/7 | North Ferriby UK Friendlies |
4-1 | 6-3 | 5 | 0 | V |
| 21/7 | Buxton UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/7 | Appleby Frodingham FC Club Friendly List |
– | 2-0 | – | – | V |
| 3/5 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/4 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | V |
| 25/4 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/4 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | E |
| 11/4 | Brackley England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | V |
| 6/4 | Gateshead England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Southend vs Scunthorpe?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Southend (49%). Probabilidades: Southend 49%, empate 26%, Scunthorpe 24%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Southend vs Scunthorpe?
El modelo espera 2,63 goles (Southend 1,59 · Scunthorpe 1,04), con un 54% a menos de 2,75 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Southend vs Scunthorpe?
El modelo da un 53% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.