Fútbol · England League 2 · 19/9, 16:00
Pronóstico: Accrington Stanley vs Newport County
Fichas de equipo: Accrington Stanley · Newport County
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,29Total
Accrington Stanley1,84
Newport County1,45
1X2
Accrington Stanley
Empate
Newport County
Mercados
Más de 2,5 goles 58%
Ambos marcan 58%
Marcador más probable
1-1 11%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Accrington Stanley
1-4-5 (V-E-D)
Newport County
4-2-4 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Accrington Stanley
4–2
Newport County
(6 últimos)
- Newport County1-4Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-1Newport County
- Accrington Stanley5-0Newport County
- Newport County3-1Accrington Stanley
- Newport County1-3Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley3-0Newport County
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Accrington Stanley 1464 · Newport County 1474
| Accrington Stanley | Empate | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Mercado | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.29 goles · línea Bet365 2.5 · +0.8
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 65%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Historial directo a favor de Accrington Stanley: 4-0-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 7.8 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Accrington Stanley | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.6 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Accrington Stanley 4–0–2 Newport County
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 11/10/25 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Newport County |
| 11/03/25 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Newport County |
| 24/08/24 England League 2 | Newport County | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 09/04/24 England League 2 | Newport County | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 05/08/23 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Newport County |
Clasificación · England League 2
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | York | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Walsall | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fleetwood Town | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Crewe | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Swindon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Colchester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Oldham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Salford City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Northampton | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 19 | Newport County | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 20 | Exeter | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 5 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 23 | Crawley Town | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Accrington Stanley
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/9 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 5/9 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | V |
| 1/9 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | E |
| 29/8 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/8 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/8 | Colchester England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | E |
| 2/5 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 25/4 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | E |
| 18/4 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | E |
| 14/4 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
Newport County
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/9 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | E |
| 5/9 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 1/9 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 29/8 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | E |
| 22/8 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 15/8 | Rochdale England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | V |
| 2/5 | Barrow England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | V |
| 25/4 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | V |
| 18/4 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 11/4 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Accrington Stanley vs Newport County?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Accrington Stanley (45%). Probabilidades: Accrington Stanley 45%, empate 26%, Newport County 29%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Accrington Stanley vs Newport County?
El modelo espera 3,29 goles (Accrington Stanley 1,84 · Newport County 1,45), con un 58% a más de 2,5 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Accrington Stanley vs Newport County?
El modelo da un 58% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.