Fútbol · New Zealand Southern League · 30/8, 03:00
Pronóstico: Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical
Fichas de equipo: Nelson Suburbs · Cashmere Technical
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
4,41Total
Nelson Suburbs1,24
Cashmere Technical3,17
1X2
Nelson Suburbs
Empate
Cashmere Technical
Mercados
Menos de 4,5 goles 55%
Ambos marcan 59%
Marcador más probable
1-3 8%
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Nelson Suburbs
6-1-3 (V-E-D)
Cashmere Technical
9-1-0 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Nelson Suburbs
1–5
Cashmere Technical
(6 últimos)
- Cashmere Technical6-0Nelson Suburbs
- Cashmere Technical3-0Nelson Suburbs
- Nelson Suburbs2-0Cashmere Technical
- Cashmere Technical6-2Nelson Suburbs
- Nelson Suburbs1-6Cashmere Technical
- Cashmere Technical5-4Nelson Suburbs
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Nelson Suburbs 1543 · Cashmere Technical 1670
| Nelson Suburbs | Empate | Cashmere Technical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Mercado | 11% | 14% | 75% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
4.41 goles · línea Bet365 4 · +0.4
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 84%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Cashmere Technical (rating 1543 vs 1670).
- Historial directo a favor de Cashmere Technical: 5-0-1.
- Muchos córners: 16.1 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Nelson Suburbs | Cashmere Technical | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 3.7 / 1.9 | 3.9 / 0.5 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 50/20/30% | 80/20/0% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.7 | 3.3 / 9.4 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Nelson Suburbs 1–0–5 Cashmere Technical
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Nelson Suburbs |
| 02/08/25 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Nelson Suburbs |
| 26/04/25 New Zealand Southern League | Nelson Suburbs | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cashmere Technical |
| 03/08/24 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 6-2 HT 3-0 | Nelson Suburbs |
| 28/04/24 New Zealand Southern League | Nelson Suburbs | 1-6 HT 0-4 | Cashmere Technical |
| 24/06/23 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 5-4 HT 1-4 | Nelson Suburbs |
Clasificación · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71 | 7 | 43 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 32 |
| 3 | Nomads United | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 30 |
| 4 | Coastal Spirit | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 28 |
| 5 | Nelson Suburbs | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 25 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 20 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | Wanaka AFC | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 10 |
| 10 | Selwyn United | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 47 | 7 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Nelson Suburbs | Cashmere Technical |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrymead Bays | 0-5 D | 4-0 V |
| Christchurch United | 3-3 E | 5-0 V |
| Nomads United | 1-2 D | 2-2 E |
| Selwyn United | 2-1 V | 4-1 V |
| Northern AFC | 11-0 V | 3-0 V |
| Dunedin City Royals FC | 4-1 V | 3-0 V |
| Coastal Spirit | 5-3 V | 5-1 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 4 V 1 E 2 D | 6 V 1 E 0 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Cashmere Technical (5 de 7 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Nelson Suburbs
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/8 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 9/8 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | E |
| 1/8 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/7 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | V |
| 12/7 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 11-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 28/6 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | V |
| 20/6 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 17 | 2 | V |
| 7/6 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 4 | V |
| 24/5 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/5 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | V |
Cashmere Technical
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/8 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | V |
| 9/8 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | V |
| 1/8 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | V |
| 18/7 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | V |
| 27/6 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | V |
| 21/6 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | E |
| 6/6 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | V |
| 23/5 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | V |
| 17/5 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | V |
| 3/5 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Cashmere Technical (75%). Probabilidades: Nelson Suburbs 11%, empate 14%, Cashmere Technical 75%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical?
El modelo espera 4,41 goles (Nelson Suburbs 1,24 · Cashmere Technical 3,17), con un 54% a más de 4 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Nelson Suburbs vs Cashmere Technical?
El modelo da un 59% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-3.