Fútbol · New Zealand Northern League · 18/7, 05:00
Pronóstico: East Coast Bays vs Bay Olympic
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,07Total
East Coast Bays2,1
Bay Olympic0,97
1X2
East Coast Bays
Empate
Bay Olympic
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 63%
Ambos marcan 54%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
East Coast Bays
3-2-5 (V-E-D)
Bay Olympic
2-1-7 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
East Coast Bays
2–2–2
Bay Olympic
(6 últimos)
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · East Coast Bays 1499 · Bay Olympic 1429
| East Coast Bays | Empate | Bay Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Mercado | 64% | 19% | 17% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.07 goles · línea Bet365 3.25 · -0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 65%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a East Coast Bays (rating 1499 vs 1429).
- Partido de tarjetas: 5.9 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| East Coast Bays | Bay Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 2.8 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 33/44/22% | 20/20/60% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · East Coast Bays 2–2–2 Bay Olympic
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 New Zealand Northern League | Bay Olympic | 0-1 HT 0-1 | East Coast Bays |
| 12/07/25 New Zealand Northern League | East Coast Bays | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bay Olympic |
| 05/04/25 New Zealand Northern League | Bay Olympic | 2-2 HT 2-1 | East Coast Bays |
| 22/06/24 New Zealand Northern League | East Coast Bays | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Bay Olympic |
| 29/03/24 New Zealand Northern League | Bay Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | East Coast Bays |
| 29/04/17 New Zealand Northern League | East Coast Bays | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Bay Olympic |
Clasificación · New Zealand Northern League · Northern League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland City | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | Fencibles United | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 26 | 31 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | East Coast Bays | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 30 |
| 6 | Auckland United FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 28 |
| 7 | Auckland FC II | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 21 |
| 8 | Western Springs AFC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 32 | 20 |
| 9 | Tauranga City AFC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 36 | 12 |
| 10 | Melville United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | 11 |
| 11 | Bay Olympic | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 11 |
| 12 | Manukau United | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 4 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | East Coast Bays | Bay Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Fencibles United | 2-3 D | 1-2 D |
| Tauranga City AFC | 2-1 V | 2-1 V |
| Manukau United | 2-0 V | 1-0 V |
| Western Springs AFC | 2-2 E | 0-3 D |
| Auckland FC II | 0-0 E | 1-4 D |
| Birkenhead United | 1-3 D | 2-6 D |
| Auckland United FC | 0-3 D | 0-3 D |
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 1-0 V | 0-2 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 2 E 3 D | 2 V 0 E 6 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: East Coast Bays (5 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
East Coast Bays
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/7 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/6 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | V |
| 20/6 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | V |
| 13/6 | Auckland City New Zealand Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 6/6 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | E |
| 1/6 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Cup |
– | 0-0 | – | – | E |
| 28/5 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/5 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/5 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | V |
| 9/5 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Bay Olympic
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/7 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | E |
| 4/7 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/6 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 20/6 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | V |
| 6/6 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | V |
| 1/6 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Cup |
1-3 | 2-6 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/5 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/5 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/5 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 9/5 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en East Coast Bays vs Bay Olympic?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de East Coast Bays (63%). Probabilidades: East Coast Bays 63%, empate 20%, Bay Olympic 16%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en East Coast Bays vs Bay Olympic?
El modelo espera 3,07 goles (East Coast Bays 2,1 · Bay Olympic 0,97), con un 55% a menos de 3,25 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en East Coast Bays vs Bay Olympic?
El modelo da un 54% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.