Fútbol · New Zealand Central League · 22/8, 05:45
Pronóstico: Island Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Fichas de equipo: Island Bay United · Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Resumen del pronóstico
Goles esperados
3,09Total
Island Bay United1,47
Wellington Phoenix Reserves1,62
1X2
Island Bay United
Empate
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Mercados
Menos de 3,5 goles 56%
Ambos marcan 57%
Marcador más probable
1-1
Forma reciente · 10 últimos
Island Bay United
1-2-7 (V-E-D)
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
0-5-5 (V-E-D)
Cara a cara
Island Bay United
0–1–5
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
(6 últimos)
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves2-2Island Bay United
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves3-1Island Bay United
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves4-1Island Bay United
- Island Bay United1-5Wellington Phoenix Reserves
- Island Bay United1-3Wellington Phoenix Reserves
- Wellington Phoenix Reserves2-1Island Bay United
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Island Bay United 1442 · Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1452
| Island Bay United | Empate | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Mercado | 35% | 23% | 42% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.09 goles · línea Bet365 3.5 · -0.4
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Análisis del modelo
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 67%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Historial directo a favor de Wellington Phoenix Reserves: 5-1-0.
- Muchos córners: 11.8 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 4.8 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Island Bay United | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 3.9 / 6.4 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Island Bay United 0–1–5 Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Desliza la tabla horizontalmente →
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 New Zealand Cup | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Island Bay United |
| 16/05/26 New Zealand Central League | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Island Bay United |
| 21/06/25 New Zealand Central League | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Island Bay United |
| 05/04/25 New Zealand Central League | Island Bay United | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
| 25/05/24 New Zealand Central League | Island Bay United | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
| 08/05/24 New Zealand Central League | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Island Bay United |
Clasificación · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Miramar Rangers | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 18 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 16 |
| 7 | Waterside Karori | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 15 |
| 8 | Petone FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 12 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Western | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 6 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Island Bay United | Wellington Phoenix Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Upper Hutt City | 4-2 V | 0-1 D |
| FC Western | 0-0 E | 1-1 E |
| Wellington Olympic | 1-2 D | 0-2 D |
| Western Suburbs | 0-2 D | 2-2 E |
| Miramar Rangers | 1-3 D | 0-1 D |
| Napier City Rovers | 0-1 D | 1-2 D |
| Waterside Karori | 0-4 D | 0-0 E |
| Balance vs comunes | 1 V 1 E 5 D | 0 V 3 E 4 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Wellington Phoenix Reserves (3 de 7 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Island Bay United
Desliza la tabla horizontalmente →
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | V |
| 1/8 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 0 | E |
| 18/7 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/7 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 4/7 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/6 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 20/6 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 6/6 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 3/6 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | E |
| 30/5 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
Desliza la tabla horizontalmente →
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 1/8 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | E |
| 18/7 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/7 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 4/7 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | E |
| 27/6 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | E |
| 20/6 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | E |
| 7/6 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 3/6 | Island Bay United New Zealand Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | E |
| 23/5 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Island Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Wellington Phoenix Reserves (41%). Probabilidades: Island Bay United 34%, empate 25%, Wellington Phoenix Reserves 41%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Island Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves?
El modelo espera 3,09 goles (Island Bay United 1,47 · Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1,62), con un 56% a menos de 3,5 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Island Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves?
El modelo da un 57% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 1-1.