Pronóstico: Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United
Se esperan 3,5 goles (Western Suburbs 2,53 · Island Bay United 0,97). El modelo da 71% al 1, 17% a la X y 12% al 2. Menos de 3,75 goles (55%) y ambos marcan (55%). Marcador más probable: 2-0.
La forma reciente deja a Western Suburbs con 5 victorias, 3 empates y 2 derrotas en 10 choques; Island Bay United acumula 3-1-6 en el mismo tramo. En los 6 enfrentamientos directos recientes, Western Suburbs ganó 4 y Island Bay United 1, con 1 empate.
| Western Suburbs | Empate | Island Bay United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| Mercado | 72% | 16% | 13% |
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado: donde nuestra probabilidad más se separa de la cuota es donde el modelo ve la mayor diferencia.
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Western Suburbs (rating 1532 vs 1442).
- Historial directo a favor de Western Suburbs: 4-1-1.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Western Suburbs | Island Bay United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 50/30/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 4.3 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Western Suburbs 4–1–1 Island Bay United
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 New Zealand Central League | Island Bay United | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Western Suburbs |
| 30/08/25 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Island Bay United |
| 14/06/25 New Zealand Cup | Island Bay United | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Western Suburbs |
| 24/05/25 New Zealand Central League | Island Bay United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Western Suburbs |
| 09/06/24 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 5-1 HT 0-1 | Island Bay United |
| 30/03/24 New Zealand Central League | Island Bay United | 1-7 HT 1-6 | Western Suburbs |
Clasificación · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Miramar Rangers | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Wellington Olympic | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 12 |
| 7 | Petone FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 11 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | Waterside Karori | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Western | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 5 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Western Suburbs | Island Bay United |
|---|---|---|
| FC Western | 1-1 E | 5-0 V |
| Miramar Rangers | 0-2 D | 1-3 D |
| Napier City Rovers | 3-3 E | 0-1 D |
| Waterside Karori | 2-2 E | 0-4 D |
| Petone FC | 1-0 V | 2-0 V |
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 1-0 V | 2-2 E |
| Upper Hutt City | 2-1 V | 4-1 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 3 E 1 D | 3 V 1 E 3 D |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Western Suburbs
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/6 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | E |
| 20/6 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 13/6 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 6/6 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | E |
| 23/5 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 16/5 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | E |
| 9/5 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | V |
| 2/5 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | V |
| 25/4 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | V |
| 18/4 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | V |
Island Bay United
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/6 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 20/6 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 6/6 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 3/6 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | E |
| 30/5 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 24/5 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | V |
| 16/5 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 9/5 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | V |
| 3/5 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 3 | V |
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Quién es favorito en Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United?
Según nuestro modelo, el resultado más probable es la victoria de Western Suburbs (71%). Probabilidades: Western Suburbs 71%, empate 17%, Island Bay United 12%.
¿Cuántos goles se esperan en Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United?
El modelo espera 3,5 goles (Western Suburbs 2,53 · Island Bay United 0,97), con un 55% a menos de 3,75 goles.
¿Marcarán ambos equipos en Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United?
El modelo da un 55% a que ambos equipos marquen.
¿Cuál es el marcador más probable?
El marcador más probable según nuestro modelo es 2-0.