Football · China Super League · 03/07, 14:00
Yunnan Yukun vs Henan
Expected goals: 2.89 (Yunnan Yukun 1.48 · Henan 1.41). The model gives 38% home, 27% draw, 35% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yunnan Yukun 1505 · Henan 1515
| Yunnan Yukun | Draw | Henan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.89Yunnan Yukun 1.48 · Henan 1.41
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 1–1–1 Henan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 China Super League | Henan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Henan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 26/06/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 21 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 17 |
| 10 | Liaoning Ironman | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 8 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Zhejiang | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Beijing Guoan | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China FA Cup |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 02/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 26/04 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Henan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | L |