Fútbol · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 5/7, 06:00
Western United FC NPL vs Melbourne Victory NPL
Se esperan 4,29 goles (Western United FC NPL 1,81 · Melbourne Victory NPL 2,48). El modelo da 28% al 1, 20% a la X y 52% al 2. Más de 4 goles (50%) y ambos marcan (63%). Marcador más probable: 1-2.
52%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Western United FC NPL 1480 · Melbourne Victory NPL 1566
| Western United FC NPL | Empate | Melbourne Victory NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| Mercado | 28% | 21% | 52% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
4.29 goles · línea Bet365 4 · +0.3
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados4,29Western United FC NPL 1,81 · Melbourne Victory NPL 2,48
Más / Menos 4Más 4 · 50%
Ambos marcanSí · 63%
Total más probable4 goles
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 55%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Melbourne Victory NPL (rating 1480 vs 1566).
- Historial directo a favor de Melbourne Victory NPL: 2-2-1.
- Muchos córners: 11.8 de media combinada.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6.4 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Western United FC NPL | Melbourne Victory NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 2.1 / 2.5 | 2.8 / 1.3 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 7.2 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.6 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Western United FC NPL 1–2–2 Melbourne Victory NPL
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Western United FC NPL |
| 17/08/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Western United FC NPL |
| 12/05/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Western United FC NPL | 4-4 HT 3-3 | Melbourne Victory NPL |
| 01/05/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Western United FC NPL | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Melbourne Victory NPL |
| 27/06/21 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Western United FC NPL | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Melbourne Victory NPL |
Clasificación · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 29 |
| 6 | North Geelong | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Eltham Redbacks | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 25 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 25 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 23 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 22 |
| 12 | Western United FC NPL | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 43 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 14 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 9 |
Rivales en común 8 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Western United FC NPL | Melbourne Victory NPL |
|---|---|---|
| Eltham Redbacks | 4-3 V | 3-3 E |
| Port Melbourne SC | 0-0 E | 3-1 V |
| Manningham United Blues | 4-3 V | 4-0 V |
| Northcote City | 1-2 D | 0-1 D |
| FC Melbourne Srbija | 0-3 D | 1-2 D |
| North Sunshine Eagles | 2-3 D | 4-1 V |
| Melbourne Knights | 3-2 V | 1-2 D |
| Brunswick City | 2-4 D | 4-1 V |
| Balance vs comunes | 3 V 1 E 4 D | 4 V 1 E 3 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Melbourne Victory NPL (5 de 8 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Western United FC NPL
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/6 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | V |
| 13/6 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | E |
| 6/6 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 5 | V |
| 31/5 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/5 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/5 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/5 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 1 | V |
| 2/5 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/4 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | V |
| 19/4 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | D |
Melbourne Victory NPL
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/6 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | V |
| 13/6 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | V |
| 8/6 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 7 | V |
| 1/6 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/5 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | E |
| 16/5 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | V |
| 11/5 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | V |
| 1/5 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/4 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 18/4 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | V |