Tennis · Challenger Zug · 19/07, 15:00

Prediction: Martin Krumich vs Andrin Casanova

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Martin Krumich Andrin Casanova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Krumich 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWWL
Andrin Casanova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Martin Krumich 1522 · Andrin Casanova 1523
Martin KrumichAndrin Casanova
Our model50%50%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Martin KrumichAndrin Casanova
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.7-11.610.3-8.6
Aces3.52
Double faults3.33.6
1st serve %70.5%69.5%
Break %38%51.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Martin Krumich

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Stefano Travaglia
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Francesco Passaro
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/07 Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Niels McDonald
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
25/06 Felix Balshaw
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
24/06 Marko Topo
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
17/06 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
16/06 Alan Wazny
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-1 17-17 W

Andrin Casanova

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Gregoire Delattre
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 11-8 L
22/06 Yannic Nittmann
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
17/06 Pedro Sakamoto
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
15/06 Robin Boeckli
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/06 Lars Aregger
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W
04/06 Alexander Weis
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Marko Retelj
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Jordi Garcia Mestre
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
24/11 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Athens · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
23/11 Stephanos Schinas
Challenger Athens · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Martin Krumich vs Andrin Casanova?

Our model gives 71% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.