Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Gaston
0–1
Damir Dzumhur
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1544 · Damir Dzumhur 1547
| Hugo Gaston | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hugo Gaston 0–1 Damir Dzumhur (1).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.4 | 12.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Hugo Gaston 0 – 1 Damir Dzumhur (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Gaston 0–1 Damir Dzumhur
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/25 ATP Bastad | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 10/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Lautaro Midon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 23/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 54% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.