Tennis · WTA Palermo · 19/07, 17:00
Prediction: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Amarissa Kiara Toth
Prediction summary
Winner
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Raluca Georgiana Serban
2-8 (W-L)
Amarissa Kiara Toth
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1486 · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1499
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.5 | 11.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raluca Georgiana Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Daria Kuczer W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Victoria Bosio W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Ena Koike W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Amarissa Kiara Toth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Caroline Werner W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaja Najzer W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/04 | Emily Seibold W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Victoria Pohle W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Amarissa Kiara Toth?
Our model gives 55% to Amarissa Kiara Toth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.