Tennis · WTA Prague · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Alina Korneeva
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
2-8 (W-L)
Alina Korneeva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kudermetova
1–0
Alina Korneeva
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1513 · Alina Korneeva 1540
| Polina Kudermetova | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Polina Kudermetova 1–0 Alina Korneeva (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 12.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Polina Kudermetova 1 – 0 Alina Korneeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kudermetova 1–0 Alina Korneeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/26 WTA Canberra | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jessika Ponchet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Priscilla Hon WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alina Korneeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Fangran Tian WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Alina Korneeva?
Our model gives 62% to Alina Korneeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.