Tennis · UTR Pro Waco · 21/07, 19:30
Prediction: Calvin Baierl vs Ritesh Patil
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Baierl
Ritesh Patil
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Baierl
6-4 (W-L)
Ritesh Patil
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Calvin Baierl
1–0
Ritesh Patil
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Baierl 1549 · Ritesh Patil 1466
| Calvin Baierl | Ritesh Patil | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Baierl (rating 1549 vs 1466).
- Calvin Baierl is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Calvin Baierl 1–0 Ritesh Patil (1).
Statistics
| Calvin Baierl | Ritesh Patil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.6 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Calvin Baierl 1 – 0 Ritesh Patil (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Calvin Baierl 1–0 Ritesh Patil
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 UTR Pro Waco | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Baierl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Cole Stelse UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/08 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanapatt Nirundorn UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Landon Ardila UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ritesh Patil
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Calvin Baierl UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Noey Do UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Raz Haviv UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Leo Matthysen UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/11 | Tiago Pires UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Khololwam Montsi UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Baierl vs Ritesh Patil?
Our model gives 64% to Calvin Baierl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.